Macroeconomic-Driven Prepayment Risk and the Valuation of Mortgage-Backed Securities (with Mikhail Chernov and Brett R. Dunn) The Review of Financial Studies 31, 1132-1183, 2017 December.
Advance Refundings of Municipal Bonds (with Andrew Ang, Richard C. Green, and Yuhang Xing) The Journal of Finance 72, 1645-1682, 2017 August.
Valuing Thinly-Traded Assets. (Francis A. Longstaff) Management Science, 1-11, 2017 May 24.
Deflation Risk (with Matthias Fleckenstein, and Hanno Lustig) The Review of Financial Studies 30, 2719-2760, 2017 February.
A Formal Method for Identifying District States of Variability in Time-Varying Sources: Sgr A* as an Example (with L. Meyer, G. Witzel, and A.M. Ghez) Astrophysical Journal 791:24, 2014 August 10.
Macroeconomic Effects of Corporate Default Crises: A Long-Term Perspective, (with Kay Giesecke, Stephen Schaefer, and Ilya Strebulaev) Journal of Financial Economics 111, 297-310, 2014
Disagreement and Asset Pricing (with Bruce Carlin and Kyle Matoba), Journal of Financial Economics 114, 226-238, 2014.
The Tips-Treasury Puzzle (with Matthias Fleckenstein and Hanno Lustig, The Journal of Finance 69, 215-2197, 2014.
Systemic Sovereign Credit Risk: Lessons from the U.S. and Europe (with Andrew Ang, Journal of Monetary Economics 60, 493-510, 2013.
A Tidally Distorted Dwarf Galaxy Near NGC 4449 (with P.M Rick, M.L.M Collins, C.M. Black, A. Lock, A. Bengon, and D.B. Reitzel, Nature 482, 9 February 2012, 192-194.
How Does the Market Value Toxic Assets? (with Brett Myers). Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 49, 297-320, 2014.
Asset Pricing and the Credit Market (with Jiang Wang) Review of Financial Studies 25 (11), 3169-3215, 2012.
Corporate Bond Default Risk: A 150-Year Perspective (with K. Giesecke, I. Strebulaev and S. Schaefer), Journal of Financial Economics 102, 233-250, 2011.
Counterparty Credit Risk and the Valuation of Credit Default Swaps (with N. Arora and P. Gandhi), Journal of Financial Economics 103, 280-293, 2012.
How Sovereign is Sovereign Credit Risk? (with J. Pan, L. Pedersen and K. Singleton), American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 3, 75-103, 2011.
Municipal Debt and Marginal Tax Rates: Is There a Tax Premium in Asset Prices?, Journal of Finance 66, 721-751, 2011.
The Subprime Credit Crisis and Contagion in Financial Markets, Journal of Financial Economics 97, 436-450, 2010.
"Asset Pricing in Markets with Illiquid Assets," American Economic Review, 99, 1119-1144, 2009
"An Empirical Analysis of the Pricing of Collateralized Debt Obligations" (with Arvind Rajan), Journal of Finance, 63, 509-563, 2008
"Systemic Credit Risk: What is the Market Telling Us?" (with Vineer Bhangali and Robert Gingrich), Financial Analysts Journal, 64, July/August 16-24, 2008
"Two Trees" (with John Cochrane and Pedro Santa-Clara), Review of Financial Studies, 21, 247-385, 2008
The U.S. Treasury Buyback Auctions: The Cost of Retiring Illiquid Bonds" (with Bing Han and Craig Merrill), Journal of Finance 62, 2673-2693, 2007.
"Risk and Return in Fixed Income Arbitrage: Nickels in Front of a Steamroller?" (with Jefferson Duarte and Fan Yu), Review of Financial Studies, 769-811, 2007.
Borrower Credit and the Valuation of Mortage-Backed Securities,"Real Estate Economics 33, 619-661, 2005.
"The Market Price of Risk in Interest Rate Swaps: The Roles of Default and Liquidity Risks" (with Jun Liu and Ravit Mandell), The Journal of Business 79, 5, 2337-2360, September 2006.
"Corporate Yield Spreads: Default Risk or Liquity? New Evidence from the Credit-Default Swap Market"(with Sanjay Mithal and Eric Neis), The Journal of Finance 60, 2213-2253, 2005.
"Corporate Earnings and the Equity Premium" (with Monika Piazzesi), Journal of Financial Economics 74, 401-421, 2004.
"Electricity Forward Prices: A High-Frequency Empirical Analysis" (with Ashley Wang), The Journal of Finance 59, 1877-1900, 2004.
"Losing Money on Arbitrages: Optimal Dynamic Portfolio Choice in Markets with Arbitrage Opportunities" (with Jun Liu), The Review of Financial Studies 17, 611-641, 2004.
"The Flight to Liquidity Premium in U.S. Treasury Bond Prices," The Journal of Business 77, 511-526, 2004.
"Paper Millionaires: How Valuable is Stock to a Stockholder Who is Restricted from Selling it?", The Journal of Financial Economics 67, 385-410, 2003.
"Dynamic Asset Allocations with Event Risk"(with Jun Liu and Jun Pan), The Journal of Finance 58, 1, 231-259, February 2003.
"Throwing Away a Billion Dollars: The Cost of Suboptimal Exercise Strategies in the Swaptions Market" (with Pedro Santa-Clara & Eduardo S. Schwartz), Journal of Financial Economics 62, 39-66, 2001.
"The Relative Valuation of Caps and Swaptions: Theory and Empirical Evidence" (with Pedro Santa-Clara & Eduardo S. Schwartz), The Journal of Finance 56, 6, 2067, December 2001.
"Optimal Portfolio Choice and the Valuation of Illiquid Securities", The Review of Financial Studies 14, 407-431, 2001
"Valuing American Options By Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach" (with Eduardo S. Schwartz), TheReview of Financial Studies 14, 1, 113-147, Spring 2001.
"Financial Innovation and the Role of Derivative Securities: An Empirical Analysis of the Treasury STRIPS Program" (with Mark Grinblatt) Journal of Finance 55, 1415-1436, June 2000.
"The Term Structure of Very Short Term Rates: New Evidence for the Expectations Hypothesis",Journal of Financial Economics58, 397-415, 2000.
"Arbitrage and the Expectations Hypothesis", The Journal of Finance 55, 989-994, 2000.
Throwing Good Money After Bad? Cash Infusions and Distressed Real Estate (with Bradford Cornell and Eduardo Schwartz), Real Estate Economics 24, 23-41, 1996.
Valuing Futures and Options on Volatility(with Andreas Grunbichler), Journal of Banking & Finance 20, 985-1001, 1996.
Placing No-Arbitrage Bounds on the Value of Nonmarketable and Thinly-Traded Securities, Advances in Futures and Options Research 8, 203-228, 1996.
How Much Can Marketability Affect Security Values?The Journal of Finance 50, 1767-1774, 1995.
Option Pricing and the Martingale Restriction, The Review of Financial Studies 8, 1091-1124, 1995.
A Simple Approach to Valuing Risky Fixed and Floating Rate Debt (with Eduardo S. Schwartz), The Journal of Finance 50, 789-819, 1995.
Valuing Credit Derivatives (with Eduardo Schwartz) The Journal of Fixed Income 5, 6-12, June 1995.
Hedging Interest Rate Risk with Options on Average Interest Rates, The Journal of Fixed Income, 37-45, March 1995.
Electronic Screen Trading and the Transmission of Information: An Empirical Examination (with Andreas Grunbichler and Eduardo S. Schwartz), Journal of Financial Intermediation 3, 166-187, 1994.
Calling Nonconvertible Debt and the Problem of Related Wealth Transfer Effects (with B.A. Tuckman), Financial Management 23, 21-27, 1994.
The Valuation of Options on Coupon Bonds, Journal of Banking & Finance 17, 27-42, 1993.
Multiple Equilibria and Term Structure Models, Journal of Financial Economics 32, 333-344, 1992.
Bid-Ask Spreads and Trading Activity in the S&P 100 Index Options Market (with Thomas J. George), Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 28, 381-397, 1993.
Interest Rate Volatility and Bond Prices (with Eduardo S. Schartz), Financial Analysts Journal 49, 70-74, July-August 1993.
Implementation of the Longstaff-Schwartz Interest Rate Model (with Eduardo S. Schwartz), The Journal of Fixed Income 3, 7-14, September 1993.
An Empirical Comparison of Alternative Models of the Short-Term Interest Rate (with K.C. Chan, G. Andrew Karolyi, and Anthony B. Sanders), Journal of Finance 47, 1209-1227, 1992.
Interest Rate Volatility and the Term Structure: A Two-Factor General Equilibrium Model (with Eduardo S. Schartz), The Journal of Finance 47, 1259-1282, 1992.
A Two-Factor Interest-Rate Model and Contingent Claims Valuation (with Eduardo S. Schwartz), The Journal of Fixed Income 2, 16-23, December 1992.
Are Negative Option Prices Possible? The Callable U.S. Treasury-Bond Puzzle, Journal of Business 65, 571-592, 1992.
General Equilibrium Stock Index Futures Prices: Theory and Empirical Evidence (with Michael L. Hemler), Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 26, 287-308, 1991.
Dual Trading in Futures Markets (with Michael J. Fishman), The Journal of Finance 47, 643-671, 1990.
Time Varying Term Premia and Traditional Hypotheses about the Term Structure, The Journal of Finance 45, 1307-1314, 1990.
Pricing Options with Extendible Maturities: Analysis and Applications, The Journal of Finance 45, 935-957, 1990.
The Valuation of Options on Yields, Journal of Financial Economics 26, 97-121, 1990.
Temporal Aggregation and the Continuous-Time Capital Asset Pricing Model, The Journal of Finance 44, 871-887, 1989.
A Nonlinear General Equilibrium Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates, Journal of Financial Economics 23, 195-224, 1989.
Pricing Options on Agricultural Futures: An Application of the Constant Elasticity of Variance Option Pricing Model, The Journal of Futures Markets, 247-258, Summer 1985.