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Sept
29
September 2021 Economic Outlook
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Oct
20
2021 Orange County Economic Outlook
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Nov
10
2021 San Francisco Economic Outlook
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Forecast Archive
 

June 2021 Economic Outlook

The pandemic induced recession has created new challenges for commercial real estate. What will be the future of offices after more than one year of remote working?

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March 2021 Economic Outlook

There is a new administration in Washington and the Pandemic still rages. Economic relief, stimulus and infrastructure spending proposals are going to be debated in Congress.

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March 2020 Economic Outlook

The current epidemic of COVID-19 is affecting the world economy. How does that impact the U.S. and California? In a new forecast to be released March 11, the UCLA Anderson Forecast team provides some analysis.

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June 2020 Economic Outlook

June 24th will be the first quarterly Forecast conference since our recession call mid-March. Much has happened since then. With a record high layoff/furlough rate, record high support/stimulus packages and public health policy interventions the economy is in unchartered waters.

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September 2020 Economic Outlook

The U.S. economy continues to move through the COVID-19 pandemic and the deepest economic decline since the Great Depression. After a partial reopening of the economy, labor markets remain weak, bankruptcies are increasing, virus cases are higher than they were in Q2, and there is renewed concern about an apparent recovery being muted at best.

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December 2020 Economic Outlook

Drought, wildfires, flooding, heatwaves, and more will impact business decisions this decade. Looking ahead from the short-term forecasts, we consider how these events will affect where people will live and how business will be conducted as the U.S. and California adapt to new climate realities.

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March 2019 Economic Outlook

The U.S. and California economies remain on track to avoid a recession in 2019, though elevated risks abound. These risks point to key factors to watch as the latter part of the year unfolds. And the soft housing markets, jitters on Wall Street and trade disputes all point to uncertainties in 2019. One key to continued growth in Los Angeles is the health of the tech industry, and in particular the transformation of the entertainment industry with new technologies. The March 2019 UCLA Anderson Forecast presents an analysis of these and other issues with the rollout of its next report.

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June 2019 Economic Outlook

While the forecast of 2019 likely escaping a recession is not much changed, commercial real estate, having enjoyed a decade long expansion since the financial crisis, is headed for a "crunch" with increasing supply coming from the flow of investment dollars searching for yield encountering a slowing increase in employment growth (from 200,000 down to 100,000 jobs a month). The panel will also discuss the potential impact of the proposed rent control legislation and split roll property tax proposals.

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September 2019 Economic Outlook

Technology is transforming the US economy and Los Angeles, particularly Silicon Beach, is certainly experiencing the impact. As we enter the third decade of the 21st Century, what does the recent success of Silicon Beach in West LA tell us about the future landscape and opportunities in the rest of the City? Is workforce development an impediment to further growth? What kinds of actions will industry, entrepreneurs, academia and the City need to take to ensure future success? The September UCLA Anderson Forecast conference will discuss these issues as well as the economic outlook and prospect for a near term recession.

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December 2019 Economic Outlook

The volatility of financial markets in 2019 has given pause with respect to recession probabilities and the future of asset markets. Will the whipsaw of bond and equity prices continue? How will the Fed react in an economy with good employment numbers, but elevated risks. The December 2019 UCLA Anderson Forecast will untangle many aspects of these questions, including the relationship between the financial and real estate sectors as it looks to the economic and financial outlook for 2020.

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March 2018 Economic Outlook

As we enter the second year of the Trump administration there are two major initiatives that will impact our local economy; the tax overhaul passed last December and the ongoing renegotiation of trade relations with Mexico, Canada, South Korea and China. What if NAFTA falls apart? Will there be a trade war with China? How will the taxation of foreign source earnings affect U.S. corporate production and employment? These and other topics related to trade and taxation will be explored at the UCLA Anderson Forecast conference on March 7, 2018.

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June 2018 Economic Outlook

The national economy remains strong with real GDP growth approximating 3% this year. However, a tightening labor market accompanied by rising inflation and higher interest rates will cause growth to slow in 2019 and 2020. Further increased trade tensions combined with trillion dollar deficits will add to economic uncertainty as the decade ends.

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September 2018 Economic Outlook

Why is the economy experiencing robust growth? In part, it is due to the fast growing technology sector. In Los Angeles, tech is changing the nature of work and the face of the city. Where does it go from here? The UCLA Anderson Forecast and the Easton Technology center will examine tech in Los Angeles at the September 26 Conference.

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December 2018 Economic Outlook

As the economy enters 2019 on a good (economic) note, there are changes ahead in financial markets. The Fed is raising rates, The ECB may raise rates as well. Dodd-Frank changes are in the winds; and there will be a new Congress. In California, there are trade wars and a new governor. The UCLA Anderson Forecast takes a look at equity and bond markets and the implications of these end-of-year changes in its release of the new forecast and its annual outlook for financial markets.

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