June 2019 Economic Outlook

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UCLA ANDERSON FORECAST IN PARTNERSHIP WITH THE UCLA ZIMAN CENTER FOR REAL ESTATE PRESENT
June 2019 Economic Outlook

 

While the forecast of 2019 likely escaping a recession is not much changed, commercial real estate, having enjoyed a decade long expansion since the financial crisis, is headed for a "crunch" with increasing supply coming from the flow of investment dollars searching for yield encountering a slowing increase in employment growth (from 200,000 down to 100,000 jobs a month). The panel will also discuss the potential impact of the proposed rent control legislation and split roll property tax proposals.

Key Topics
  • Did the first quarter stock market rebound signal an "all clear" for the economy?
  • Will the recent drop in interest rates trigger a surge in housing activity?
  • How will commercial real estate fare in a slower growth economy?
7:30 - 8:30a Registration + Breakfast
8:30 - 8:35a Welcome + Introductions
Jerry Nickelsburg, Director, UCLA Anderson Forecast
8:35 - 9:45a UCLA Anderson Forecast for the Nation and California
David Shulman (MBA '66, PhD '75), Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast
Jerry Nickelsburg, Director, UCLA Anderson Forecast
Edward Leamer, Professor Emeritus, UCLA Anderson School
William Yu, Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast
9:45 - 10:00a Q + A with the Forecast Team
10:00 - 10:15a Allen Matkins / UCLA Anderson Forecast CRE Survey Results
A conversation with John Tipton, Partner at Allen Matkins, hosted by Jerry Nickelsburg
10:15 - 10:30a Break
10:30 - 10:55a Keynote Address
Timur Tecimer, President and CEO, Overton Moore Properties
10:55 - 11:45a Expert Panel: Commercial Real Estate
Moderator: David Shulman (MBA '66, PhD '75), Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast
Paul Habibi, Continuing Lecturer of Finance and Real Estate, UCLA Anderson School
Marianne Lowenthal (BA '82, MBA '85), Executive Vice President, National Development and Acquisitions, Combined Properties
Michael R. Coppin, Vice President, Leasing - Southern California, McCarthy Cook & Co.
Murray McQueen, President, Tribune Real Estate Holdings, LLC