Forecast articles from the quarterly reports are free to read one calendar year after release.
December 2020 Economic Outlook
Fiscal Stimulus - November 2020
Theory and Evidence as Drivers of Economists' Opinions Regarding the Impact of Fiscal Stimulus - Edward E. Leamer & Sumit Shinde
Construction - July 2020
Recessions and Recoveries of Jobs in Construction - Edward E. Leamer
California Budget - May 2020
Headline vs. Reality (Which is Still Very Bad) - Dan Mitchell
March 2020 Economic Outlook
The Sum of All Fears/Coronavirus: Supply Shock and Demand Shock - David Shulman
The 2020 Recession in the Golden State/Trade Wars, Epidemic: Big News and Small Impact - Jerry Nickelsburg
The Bay Area Outlook: Signs of Growing Pains? - Leila Bengali
December 2019 Economic Outlook
The Two Track Economy - David Shulman
What's a Recession? Who Should Worry About a Recession? Is there a Recession Coming Soon? - Edward Leamer
California Enters the Next Decade With Full Employment and Slowing Growth - Jerry Nickelsburg
City Human Capital Index 2017 Update - William Yu
U.S. Employment Analysis - October 2019
September 2019 Economic Outlook
The Year of Living Dangerously - David Shulman
The California Growth Spurt Continues to Roll On, But for How Long? - Jerry Nickelsburg
Tech Jobs, Talents, and the Local Economy - William Yu
Parcel Taxes With Perfectly Attentive Homeowners - Leila Bengali
U.S. Employment Analysis - September 2019
What's the New in the August Payroll Increase of 130,000 Jobs? - Edward Leamer
June 2019 Economic Outlook
Fuzzy Data, a Slowing Economy and a Trade War - David Shulman
Commercial Real Estate: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly - David Shulman
A New Monthly Indicator of the California Economy - Jerry Nickelsburg
Consequences of the Discontinuation of the 11th District Cost of Funds Index - Jerry Nickelsburg & William Yu
March 2019 Economic Outlook
Global Slowdown - David Shulman
The Housing Puzzle: Affordability Correction or Recession? - Jerry Nickelsburg
How Far into the Future Can Economic Forecaster's Actually See? - Edward Leamer
December 2018 Economic Outlook
Downshifting to Slower Growth - David Shulman
Will the Tech-Boom Falter if NASDAQ Enters a Long-Term Bear Market? - Jerry Nickelsburg
Employment in the Financial Industry - William Yu
September 2018 Economic Outlook
A Wile E. Coyote Economy? - David Shulman
California's Fiscal Ship: Will it Sink as Freight Carriers From China Turn Around? - Jerry Nickelsburg
The Tech Industry in California - William Yu
June 2018 Economic Outlook
Interest Rates Move to the Center Stage - David Shulman
The Best of Times and the Worst of Times for Housing - David Shulman
Affordability, Full Employment, and Economic Growth - Jerry Nickelsburg
March 2018 Economic Outlook
Regime Change - David Shulman
Bifurcated No More? - Jerry Nickelsburg
How Important is International Trade to Los Angeles - William Yu
December 2017 Economic Outlook
Sunny 2018, Cloudy 2019 - David Shulman
A Downshift in Growth Foretold - Jerry Nickelsburg
City Growth, Cost of Living, and Human Capital - William Yu
September 2017 Economic Outlook
Economy Growing Amidst Washington Chaos - David Shulman
Affordable Housing Gets a Bump - Jerry Nickelsburg
What Happened to the Retail Industry in the U.S.? - William Yu
June 2017 Economic Outlook
Three Things to Worry About - Edward Leamer
Housing Activity Grinds Higher - David Shulman
The Budget and the Drizzling Day Fund - Jerry Nickelsburg
March 2017 Economic Outlook
Extreme Makeover - David Shulman
Are Foreign Tourists and Immigrant Workers in California Dreaming? - Jerry Nickelsburg
Will a Lower Corporate Tax Rate Boost Economic Growth? Evidence from OECD Countries, 2000 to 2015 - William Yu
December 2016 Economic Outlook
First Pass at Trumponomics: From Reckless Monetary Policy to a Reckless Fiscal Policy - David Shulman
Forecast the California Economy: Dead Reckoning in a Thick Marine Layer - Jerry Nickelsburg