Research Papers

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RESEARCH PAPERS

I. WORKING PAPERS

The Democratic Transition

(with Fabrice Murtin) - July 2012

- View the shorter version in Vox (10-05-2011) and coverage in Hurriyet Daily News, Livemint, Freakonomics Blog, The Globe and Mail, NCPA, Les Echos.

- Paper (.pdf) / NBER Working Paper #17432 / CEPR Working Paper #8599 / Data appendix

War and Relatedness
(with Enrico Spolaore) - June 2012

- View the shorter version in Vox (07-07-2009) and the coverage in Newsweek Russia (07-13-2009, in Russian) and Vanity Fair Italy (08-26-2009, in Italian).

- Paper (.pdf) / NBER Working Paper #15095 / CEPR Working Paper #7371

Economic Integration and Structural Change

(with Jean Imbs and Claudio Montenegro) - February 2012

- Paper (.pdf)

II. PUBLICATIONS

How Deep Are the Roots of Economic Development?

(with Enrico Spolaore) - May 2012. Forthcoming, Journal of Economic Literature.

- Paper (.pdf) / NBER Working Paper #18130 / CEPR Working Paper #8998

The First Law of Petropolitics

Economica, vol. 79, no. 316, October 2012, pp. 641-657.

- View the coverage in Foreign Policy and Tom Friedman’s response

- Paper (.pdf)

Long Term Barriers to the International Diffusion of Innovations

(with Enrico Spolaore) - in Jeffrey Frankel and Christopher Pissarides, eds., NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2011, Chapter 1, pp. 11-46. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, May 2012.

- Paper (.pdf) / NBER Working Paper #17271 / CEPR Working Paper #8541

The Political Economy of Linguistic Cleavages

(with Klaus Desmet and Ignacio Ortuño-Ortín) - Journal of Development Economics, vol. 97, no. 2, March 2012, pp. 322-338.

- Paper (.pdf) / NBER Working Paper #15360 / CEPR Working Paper #7478 / Linguistic heterogeneity data / Online Appendix

A Monte Carlo Study of Growth Regressions
(with William R. Hauk, Jr.) - Journal of Economic Growth, vol. 14, no. 2, June 2009, pp. 103-147.
- Paper (.pdf) / NBER Technical Working Paper #T0296

The Diffusion of Development
(with Enrico Spolaore) - Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol. 124, no. 2, May 2009, pp. 469-529.

- View the coverage in Economic Principals (08-26-2007) and in SmartMoney Russia (05-02-2006, in Russian).

- Paper (.pdf) / NBER Working Paper #12153 / CEPR Working Paper #5630 / Genetic distance data / Additional empirical results

Trade Liberalization and Growth: New Evidence
(with Karen Horn Welch) - World Bank Economic Review, vol. 22, no. 2, June 2008, pp. 187-231. (lead article)
- Paper (.pdf) / Liberalization Data / NBER Working Paper #10152

Death and Development
(with Peter Lorentzen and John McMillan) - Journal of Economic Growth, vol. 13, no. 2, June 2008, pp. 81-124. (lead article)

- View the coverage in La Vanguardia (10-27-2005, in Spanish).
- Paper (.pdf) / NBER Working Paper #11620 / CEPR Working Paper #5246

Small States, Big Pork
(with William R. Hauk, Jr.) - Quarterly Journal of Political Science, vol. 2, no. 1, January 2007, pp. 95-106.

- Paper (.pdf) (posted with permission from Now Publishers)

Review of Acemoglu and Robinson's "Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy"

Science, vol. 313, no. 5793, pp. 1576-1577 (15 September 2006).

- Paper

Trade, Growth and the Size of Countries
(with Alberto Alesina and Enrico Spolaore) - in Philippe Aghion and Steven Durlauf (eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth, vol. 1, part 2, Chapter 23, pp. 1499-1542. Amsterdam: North Holland, 2005.
- Paper (.pdf)

Borders and Growth
(with Enrico Spolaore) - Journal of Economic Growth, vol. 10, no. 4, December 2005, pp. 331-386.
- Paper (.pdf) / NBER Working Paper #9223 / CEPR Working Paper #5202

Do Democratic Transitions Produce Bad Economic Outcomes?

(with Dani Rodrik) - American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, May 2005, pp. 50-55.

- View the coverage in the International Herald Tribune (1-7-2005).

- Paper (.pdf) (posted with permission from the American Economic Association)

Trade Liberalization and Intersectoral Labor Movements
(with Jessica Wallack) - Journal of International Economics, vol. 64, no. 2, December 2004, pp. 411-439.
- Paper (.pdf) / Companion Paper / October 2001 Version (posted with permission from Elsevier Science)

Fractionalization
(with Alberto Alesina, Arnaud Devleeschauwer, William Easterly and Sergio Kurlat) - Journal of Economic Growth, vol. 8, no. 2, June 2003, pp. 155-194. (lead article)
- Paper (.pdf) / Fractionalization Data / NBER Working Paper #9411M(posted with permission from Kluwer)

Stages of Diversification
(with Jean Imbs) - American Economic Review, vol. 93, no. 1, March 2003, pp. 63-86.
- Paper (.pdf) / Additional empirical results / September 2000 versionM(posted with permission from the American Economic Association)

Review of Easterly's “The Elusive Quest for Growth”
Journal of Economic Literature, vol. 40, no. 3, September 2002, pp. 907-918.
- Paper (.pdf) / Paper in Spanish/ M(posted with permission from the American Economic Association)

Measuring the Dynamic Gains From Trade
World Bank Economic Review, vol. 15. no. 3, October 2001, pp. 393-429.
- Paper (.pdf)

How Democracy Affects Growth
(with José Tavares) - European Economic Review, vol. 45, no. 8, August 2001, pp. 1341-1379. (lead article)
- View the coverage in the New York Times (4-13-2000).
- Paper (.pdf) (posted with permission from Elsevier Science)

Economic Integration and Political Disintegration
(with Alberto Alesina and Enrico Spolaore) - American Economic Review, vol. 90, no. 5. December 2000, pp. 1276-1296.
- Reprinted in Pomfret, Richard (ed.), The Economics of Regional Trading Arrangements, The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, vol. 161, Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar, 2003 (Chapter 23, pp. 471-491).
- View the coverage in the Financial Times (7-1-1997), the Financial Times (12-22-1997), The Economist, (3-1-1998), Le Monde (12-8-1998), and Business Week (03-19-2001).
- Paper (.pdf) / NBER Working Paper #6163M(posted with permission from the American Economic Association)

The Economics of Civic Trust
(with Alberto Alesina) - in Susan J. Pharr and Robert D. Putnam (eds), Disaffected Democracies: What's Troubling the Trilateral Countries?, Chapter 7. Princeton: Princeton University Press, June 2000.

- Paper (.pdf)

Is Europe Going Too Far?
(with Alberto Alesina) - Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy (supplement to the Journal of Monetary Economics), vol. 51, no. 1, December 1999, pp.1-42. (lead article)
- View the coverage on CNN-fn (12-8-1998) and the shorter version in Vox (06-22-2008).
- Paper (.pdf) / NBER Working Paper #6883M(posted with permission from Elsevier Science)

Openness, Country Size and Government
(with Alberto Alesina) - Journal of Public Economics, vol. 69, no. 3, September 1998, pp.305-321. (lead article)
- View the coverage in The Economist (1-3-1998).
- Paper (.pdf) / NBER Working Paper #6024M(posted with permission from Elsevier Science)