New MicroTSP Workfile'!Mr n MhIR x C$hI+`  +CONS_SENTIMENT,bG,` ,GC6hI,` U6FGDPFgI,` F;RGDP_PRICESgI,` ,SbIBdhI,` TdsRtnhI,` tRESID$hI,` }RGDPͅbhI,` ߅UƑgI,`^KEQ1_GROWTHE`^`EQ1_INFLATE䐚6`^EEQ1_RATESE`^*EQ1_UNEMPLOYMENTE`^?EQ2_G6`^REQ2_INFLATEU6`^eEQ2_R46`^zEQ2_UI6`^EQ3_GG`!.$nINFOhI`Z >,5HFRcGt|4gbHQ#Np!z?uF =??NTX?TlѽտXsO?J?+pz7?!c[?2x7 BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8T@`T@T@]R@Q@P@O@O@O@.K@P@DDDDDR@Q@{R@33333R@lP@P@P@̬P@R@R@"""""V@V@"""""V@X@DDDDD$X@wwwwwX@ݽW@ݝW@33333W@UUUUU5W@EDDDDV@"""""W@1X@VUUUUW@"""""W@ݝV@33333V@yW@U@UUUUUW@DDDDDdW@"""""X@@W@xwwwwW@V@W@V@V@V@S@HP@ݽR@.T@T@wwwwwQ@Q@S@fffffS@T@U@ݝT@YS@"""""U@@W@ W@V@HW@UUUUUW@V@JW@33333sV@V@V@W@"""""bX@"""""X@"""""Y@UUUUUuZ@=Z@UUUUUZ@Z@Y@ Y@yZ@Z@yZ@QZ@[@1[@Z@Y@W@V@DDDDD$V@HU@HW@gffffW@U@UUUUUT@S@QV@33333SV@V@X@UUUUUUW@gffffW@wwwwwwW@DDDDDW@̌V@U@T@;V@33333T@"""""U@W@ W@U@nU@`S@fffffR@BA8BA8BA8e6,<"Arial\=P1\=P3\"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbt"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbt"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbt"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbt"Arial\=P1\=P3\"Arial\=P1\=P3\NJ(2xd76,[Display Name] University of Michigan: Consumer Sentiment [History] Modified: 1934M01 2008M12 // cons_sentiment=nassP,BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8>[4п>?`ʳN@PwQ ,@?~x@t#m@`6@/ p0ε&@@0j@1@Xe(@ 1@0J6N!@ 4σ@w- v@p;*9@fv `y- @p[ŏX@wՉ +@P-@Qk@?7ߜ}g`39|ԍ=@`VǺ!@~h(@`S:R@𧆭/@F< @ `\?D ?p^@N) @ g𿠭T @8 7 %#K?xkX&@L&@UKW@@C$@i|ۿkw?,L$@-L?PG~Vƾ@a:;@#~rVA@(S!@5@@@9 L @!?;կ[@@ޞ-@+@@ ,"@O@#@֗ ??墤$@Pb@x'T2 @ H$@gL)$@G?v"@/^O2 @WȦ @ 8X^п f8< @`?@[h'!@`a-@6|@2G?`d;@?%/e@8RԞt3?!a @`[ߥ''@`o@ wIl @{lr?qB1@]#@أs}@Ȑ_@]{$@zi@95ZGt@tPeԡ`>?WLwfBz )-s @r'I@ H-12'@⇅X|"@ 耸@@U? ߥ @0.@lpV@ n@'DHw?[?yF0@ @PeX@Y>?v3H?'ξ~ @Kw4?'W?esO @ x{ @$/V@ ;vh=ob P_F/@z&J˞?0S&9M@0֚"@8R @`mh!@M4 @m@fT@ڄh @@+/~x& @@@ @(V |@@TY8 @ǰ@@bĊ?@6 @@"? @P eYn@zzK @`"Y@@OJ@`U"N@B ?fT@`@m@`Sd@Xsh?@]@5L? ܁֒zm[4!4W1@# HHL@@OJP?(i@p@@=̗4@(@ U?@R,j@@^w? @!-@#"/@!@@;}?X?py @@Ln4;Z@``?@ ъ7@`7n@+@`Sb-] @Phr@DJ@.or@3@4Bm@0J/@z[@\YWA @1#I@s"aU@pqZ@ɟ?Hw@t]Ͽ!8?^:=(?I9{9?`j*6@|EP@ K@%}?2\Z?%܎ @ real_growth=100*(rgdp/rgdp(-1))^4-100 Modified: 1946:1 2006:4 // g = 100*(rgdp/rgdp(-1))^4 -100 Modified: 1946Q1 2008Q4 // g=+100*(rgdp/rgdp(-1))^4 -100 Modified: 1946Q1 2008Q4 // g=+100*(rgdp/rgdp(-1))^4 -100 Modified: 1946Q1 2008Q4 // g=+100*(rgdp/rgdp(-1))^4 -100005BA8BA8BA8BA8fffffm@n@33333n@o@fffffFp@̴p@fffffq@333333q@p@33333p@33333p@33333p@333333q@q@r@fffffs@t@33333 u@yu@u@u@33333v@hv@fffff6w@fffffw@w@w@fffff~w@tw@w@w@Xx@)y@fffffy@8z@z@z@33333#{@t{@|@33333|@33333|@fffff&}@|@`|@|@33333{}@P~@fffff~@fffff@@ @33333w@p@33333@\@33333@؀@33333+@@@9@p@fffff@33333ӂ@@33333@̃@L@fffff@@@@ @@\@fffff@33333_@33333ˈ@8@33333@@(@fffff@33333@A@33333@fffffB@@fffff@$@d@fffffʏ@$@j@s@33333)@fffff|@33333͑@@fffff@'@̆@@ޔ@o@̼@33333a@@333335@̨@E@@fffff@fffff@fffffʚ@fffff@3@33333@33333u@33333M@X@%@33333@̠@33333ǡ@fffff@@@@@33333@fffffQ@ɤ@J@R@33333ť@ɦ@fffff٧@@fffffը@@@fffffU@fffff@@m@333338@ @Ԭ@33333í@33333@fffff@@@fffffR@L@@!@3333I@ffff捱@±@@R@̟@L@ffffW@Ƴ@@3333@@N@ffff曵@Lе@fffffT@3333@fffffٶ@ض@@LL@@Ϸ@4@@@LT@3333@Թ@@33333@@v@˻@33333@@L@3333@@b@Ƚ@`@33333@fffff@@̱@33333@3333^@@Y@3333@*@ffff|@L@ @0@@3333@fffff/@ C@p@@3333s@̌@ffff&@ffff.@L]@3333@̌@@ffff'@ @@F@ffff&@3333@@V@3333@@}@33333@O@ @@ @3333sc@@L?@g@fffff@@@fffff&@BA82,8P"Arial\=P1\=P3\P"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbt"Arial\=P1\=P3\"Arial\=P1\=P3\              NK>12xZ76F[Display Name] Gross Domestic Product, SAAR [History] Imported from 'D:\aaa COURSES\FORECAST\Homeworks\1 Getting Started\Homework 1 Data.xls'ZFBA8BA8BA8BA8{G:.@Q.@Gz./@m/@+0@-F0@㥛 0@Gz0@$0@Hzg0@1ZD0@ʡE0@~j40@ClG0@S㥛0@K70@Qx1@Mb1@"1@ +1@&11@l1@h|?2@/$&2@}?5^)2@NbX942@jtD2@ʡES2@Hzg2@q= ףp2@;On2@Et2@-2@A`Т2@L7A`2@S2@t3@p= C3@\(|3@v3@E3@jt3@9v4@{G:4@x&1h4@Zd;4@ҍ4@J +4@Gz4@t4@Q4@|?5^4@I +4@Q4@+5@V-/5@(\55@9v?5@GzN5@\(\5@Zd{5@}?5^5@jt5@ƫ5@Zd5@/$5@%C5@?5^I5@K7A6@ 6@Gz.6@x&1H6@zGa6@vz6@6@d;O6@Zd6@V-7@^I K7@sh|7@#~j7@M7@'17@ˡE=8@T㥛Ā8@x8@1Z9@ˡE]9@Zd;9@K9@QX:@!rh:@V ;@Zd;o;@Hz;@M<@m<@v<@F=@NbX9T=@Mb=@w/=@$C>@Q>@fffff?@n?@A`@@DlY@@sh|@@GzA@EA@QB@`"ۉB@V-B@x)C@q= ףC@bX9C@+C@p= 3D@?5^ID@D@`"9E@S㥛E@K7E@v?F@̬F@/$G@xG@xG@ƋH@V I@%CI@nJ@uVJ@K7IK@= ףp L@ rL@"~JM@S㥛M@'1ZN@MbN@ ףp=*O@bX9O@+O@OnP@Mb8P@ bP@zGP@ʡP@jtP@KP@ +Q@QKQ@ bQ@MbxQ@B`"Q@ ףp=Q@MbQ@QQ@= ףpQ@7A` R@`"9R@\R@&1|R@jtR@mR@Zd S@M2S@ʡeS@SS@OnS@ʡES@7A`T@/TT@ZdT@jtT@|?5^T@#~j U@ rh1U@LU@/$qU@!rhU@!rhU@ U@-U@V V@uV&V@RAV@ʡEfV@Q~V@V@Zd;OV@~jtV@/$V@DlW@".W@SSW@(\gW@jtW@QW@ʡW@vW@vW@KW@/$X@V-X@Hz'X@l9X@K7QX@/lX@ rhX@fffffX@ X@RX@ClY@+Y@ r`Y@(\Y@\(Y@+Y@ZdY@#~jY@|?5Z@%C;Z@sh|oZ@/݄Z@ClZ@VZ@Q [@p= K[@Ss[@S[@o[@+\@I +_\@M\@M\@?5^I]@"F]@sh|o]@p= ׻]@Dl]@"]@/4^@Zd;g^@/|^@jt^@BA86,<"Arial\=P1\=P3\"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbt"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbt"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbt"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbt"Arial\=P1\=P3\"Arial\=P1\=P3\HNJN32xZ76MR[Display Name] GDP Price Deflator [History] Imported from 'D:\aaa COURSES\FORECAST\Homeworks\1 Getting Started\Homework 1 Data.xls'RBA8BA8BA8BA8BA8Oq10@F@ ْ !@ Q,T@s>ǁ@P@ݟ?ȿRn3@]V@2R TSkA}?H82?z03 @Э!@_h-@[@#?Vt@?~vp?`h6 @@x|???$U?i?Jz?i?q%i?t魸2ƿฯ~e?{әz?% VI@ `o@ @ '@ o@է;@0@@:@ Q@h~x@dB8@^D^ @t=i??B?g9?Y8?GA;?"PcVO?Pң?jS4?~Z?iZf?)g?T ?JEߙ??@@.?0o@@Ŀ?M?@,W?O?L ?Mԙ? @@u?ar+ ?e[*@??-U?Qx?_? +@@Llj@i2b@^<=@`F(u @-W?`8r?@ 螡 @/)@&@0M*R1@#,$s@Du;@GS@@B@`ER@P)@Y4S@ v @V*@F-@P%@0A<@<I @o<@`PY@Ux @_'@c{@V@Kc@`,f@9 @ b-P"@{)@XHOS)@PGx #@ < @Do@@Ø2@P`@E@0U0o@z1=@@kΎW@c}QR@1x@c0@@HɚMg@0 `@0NY@2] @0cë@heN!$@0 uL @ 6 @K0#"@ B"@PB"@` B.p'@F %@/c@`=EK@Ј @tJ @:GO@2%@bP@C' @?R,@1H)@``!@P12@@* @ )-k @z<#@ @@i@@`??N@O G@a58?@@`~D@٠@ ׸HY@ ɀ<@`(@W5 @NX@&r@ @ @0ȍ@>a@b1K@`*u^@PSvX@ @P @p )@~M @gC2@@fڎoG@x@aVX@@c@?Qj@Mߗ @@}w@j@ 6@@. @ʟ5#%@eb@S @JQ'@ xۈw@0V@` @ SN @ʤ@<$@o@0u@o*(@8G]d??+@@[7 @3?R @BA82,8P"Arial\=P1\=P3\P"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbt"Arial\=P1\=P3\"Arial\=P1\=P3\               N"[2xZ76b[Display Name] Inflation rate (GDP deflator) [History] Modified: 1946:1 2006:4 => inflation=100*(gdp_price/gdp_price(-1))^4-100 Modified: 1946:1 2006:4 // i = inflation Modified: 1946Q1 2008Q4 // i=inflation Modified: 1946Q1 2008Q4 => i=100*(gdp_price/gdp_price(-1))^4-1001cRQ?RQ?RQ?RQ?RQ?RQ?/ZŒ?#mdi?Gz???= ףp=?Q?Q?K~?JU:?%]@?d) t?Q?sFb??ףp= ?%]@?(\?!'?iڢ%X?yq?;K?Gz?2:@^N?wŒ?(\?HzG?%tDDD?RQ?wŒ?Ӥ?ie?X#K~@i@@6@<8DDD@k,@Q @̒.m @{Gz @+ˁN?i?zG?Q@("b/@@RQ @Q@/@X@zG@|NL t@@e,:m@e,:m@Gz@b@/ǻ@Q@z贁@It@@Q@Q~%X @:_, @= ףp= @6 @:_, @plwww @Q@/@b@d@q= ףp@]%X@(?_,@ףp= @ @ @HzG @333333@0i@333333@Gz@b@]%X@\rŒ_@b@x@fI6i@ףp= @;T@RN@fI6i@Q@@ ףp= @Q@%K~ @)\(@zG@p ; t@@fI6i@$U @@{1}www@M>崁N @zGa @q= ףp@@&Œ@RQ@!贁@d@ :m@@*K~@Q@\(\@/@q= ףp@&Œ@nN@=t@@p= #!@BgADD"@Ct"@W%X#@bɯ'@1*@;#@M>崁N"@&˃:+@Hz,@ 6-@FN.@'@19m)@ףp= (@$$"""@ :m@9l6 @M[ @HzG"@!@ףp= W"@(#@p= ף$@ N!@] @ףp= @qZ:m@d@h/@(\@x@fI6i@*y^%@ :m@(?_,@p ; t@]E~@ףp= @ ףp= @nN@Gz!@R @\rŒ_@|i@ ףp= @/@nN@(\@x@= ףp=@!贁@)\(@KM%@q= ףp @6@(\@Gz@/ǻ@a@{Gz@X @V~@nN@Q@E+X@g5b@{1}www@ ףp= @Q@Gz@g5b@nN@= ףp=@4Pc/@4Pc/@\(\@3d6@nN@GīK@0i@ :m@̯6@@(?_,@Gz@ֆ t@@@HIDDD@HzG @\(\ @62贁?wŒ?_www?;K?Em>UUU?62贁?p= ף?(\?u%UUU?u%UUU?JU:?b?@ @SK@@vN@zG @i@&Œ@̯6@ :m@|i@4@E+X@3d6@Q @Q~%X@"?/4~?<%0?2,8P"Arial\=P1\=P3\P"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbt"Arial\=P1\=P3\"Arial\=P1\=P3\              NJl2xd76t[Display Name] Interest Rate on 3-month Treasuries [History] Modified: 1934M01 2008M12 // r=na__YtBA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8Z?hg@3Β^]$ha o@p4F?%B?Mϼ҃;x@},]#@2&@Ya3Ij@vuGYw5:?פmc*r,$S8?9Nq @FY?RC ?McWO@?\y {Xz[1?AG|?!l@/cʿnT/? wM->y#ҿ2> ?N6߿Zr @N:ó?oR5?޸Y#5u ?8K(?",Z˿%?wE=խp@~ծ'B9|6>-EVVݿ6OX^P?v?FJ~ @n=u%@>7 ? ' .J>C '!+2_P@f,׿~IJ@TZc*?˦$J=`\ŝ?gEM?GP?[OX}@!Qנ`B9?J?UCT?@bs[?s*4MK?>EN?}_f@~N30?+)>LT'?Betq@!z nGS@ ~6h -b濃/4oP6j?BY=S0p?R?J;0)*e[SX7(E?d)@(-ŃD>m DD\4=� hL%  ߰Ɗ?skӧY@x7NiKq\.B)ȿrj"PĥV@Ա1 @S%_)? m@BA8BA82x76|BA8BA8BA8BA8n+D5@m-;@0+o]у@g,{g,@aH@fu~.@Dc֙@g'Y@8狙@@vw-@}P0(@L:@ֱa@$`@T@=N@C4q@.ѣ@8y%@mjSڒ@H@w#l'@.r(W@R1c@t姥@'*K2@m]@YȊQ@r /@4HQ@Ҫ@=m@,H~(I@w~1@,W\@mk@ـʊX@^h@_0X@oSժ@p @7+ @o#aF@O{@눩K @kV@F3@O"֬@]M@]h_@ @:Lk@,z;Ya@ok@<@~i5L^@#+.@GY@/U~A @v@xC2@@+/T!@] ؜"k@(@qӗа@6L Xp@@s@T&@Kq@/Ұ@ـl@x8Yn@S8@Ғ @Po+@Q/"@.rj@7ű@s@_!@;Vu@ }²@y0ٲ@D8@Joܙ@vl ȳ@}%x@_5@]M@_F@ MW@K1c@z8@]H@rhzO@ '@Ч@*ϴ@[@ bb|8@%!xR@[j+[o@@xPE@phヴ@5,@յ@=]kC@ @j=۶@Dб @*1vB@Ctx@۲_ҷ@Ң@Db>@sjJY@e "@Q@K'ڸ@Ɂ!@7[@}H[Ϲ@e#@TcC@ kd@t@-o@1@Z  b@3v@pCRƻ@:|bػ@ʪػ@m_@@wX}@@<ۿϻ@L@Bfl8@"@ȼ@<@}h!@~r>_H@Z\~m@G|yֽ@@;W!@@OVѳ@Il$@9a#@+81@%Bu@{ TW鯿@Xk@hwAD9@aUMU@^U@ћ#@MB;"@쒐̋"@q" WB@ܜps@߭@D;*}@4< @~DW4@jV@U6@S,2u@w@l::@6^17@kFN@l][H@\ W@H2kF@,}Y^@1`}@H6}@>Jk@Bh@V!@R{ϭ@h?5O@hp@qʼn@A @@hb@Z&@hEK=@y`@g=@n@c0w@B @@I-@/@_jr@[o@J]@@Ϯk@Od|@BA82xZ76[Display Name] Real GDP [History] Modified: 1946Q1 2008Q4 // rgdp=100*gdp/gdp_price Modified: 1946Q1 2008Q4 // rgdp =100*gdp/gdp_priceFBA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8i @]`UUU @*-"""@6@d@{1}www@@@@HIDDD@΂@4@ @@]`UUU @b @@/ǻ@i @6@@@i@ @@333333@@QOUUU@4@@ffffff@4@h"""@@΂@΂@plwww@ffffff@4@@333333@{1}www@QOUUU@{1}www@QOUUU@ffffff@@ffffff@΂@4@h"""@@333333@@@@΂@h"""@HIDDD@h"""@@4@@HIDDD@@@@@@d@{1}www@ffffff@b@6@*-"""@ @6@6@ffffff@333333@i @ @<8DDD @333333 @333333 @plwww @ @ @d@@d@QOUUU@@@h"""@@@@HIDDD@{1}www@@@333333@@΂@@΂@ffffff@e @!@ @ @4@HIDDD@4@@@΂@@d@QOUUU@@h"""@@{1}www@@{1}www@@333333@QOUUU@d@@@@@utwww @ͧ!@"@#@iqUUU%@]ػ$@0'DDD$@"@4!@{1}www@@@333333@4@333333@@h"""@h"""@d@@QOUUU@ffffff@@@QOUUU@@@@QOUUU@@4@4@{1}www@333333@QOUUU@@΂@ffffff@QOUUU@{1}www@ffffff@{1}www@ffffff@΂@{1}www@΂@HIDDD@333333@΂@HIDDD@@@΂@@d@d@HIDDD@h"""@@@QOUUU@4@@{1}www@d@΂@@h"""@@333333@@4@HIDDD@h"""@plwww@@333333@4@@QOUUU@@@QOUUU@4@{1}www@{1}www@΂@΂@QOUUU@@ffffff@@@@΂@@@4@d@΂@@@h"""@@333333@@{1}www@HIDDD@{1}www@2,8P"Arial\=P1\=P3\P"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbt"Arial\=P1\=P3\"Arial\=P1\=P3\ NJՍ2xd761[Display Name] Unemployment Rate [History] Modified: 1934M01 2008M12 // u=naMMyG C G(-1) G(-2)@ALLC(1) C(2) C(3) C G(-1) G(-2) GG = C(1) + C(2)*G(-1) + C(3)*G(-2)1947Q4 2008Q3 ?2sp @Pi?Ye@Y@b/@H@~N[@8 Da?/1@ގ܌0(?eA|>BA8BA8BA8@n@H@?BA8!=׿?3 ~R!-タ(p?TVQu1p?Sample (adjusted): 1947Q4 2008Q3Included observations: 244 after adjustments ?2sp @Pi?Ye@Y@b/@H@~N[@8 Gi|A@ Da?/1@ ގ܌0(? eA|>@n@H@?8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8`%i0[i 3AF0ǮhI!!'--Heu%iWi ^p/@9_>D?#u?ؑ##/p"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"AriaI C I(-1) I(-2) I(-3)@ALLC(1) C(2) C(3) C(4) C I(-1) I(-2) I(-3) II = C(1) + C(2)*I(-1) + C(3)*I(-2) + C(4)*I(-3)1948Q1 2008Q3_?c @`a?`,I|#@xҹz?F@*@ ʏ@qT5}|63a@7?k|Ր5BA8BA8BA8@`n@*@?BA8 9?@~-?5YkVo?Sample (adjusted): 1946Q3 2008Q4Included observations: 250 after adjustments|=?@ 19?B@!}?&ٶ@8\\@/@đ'p kf@ EH @ mf? l@@o@8\\@?8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8`%i0[i -;F0۠ܮhI!!!--Beo%iWi b>?=/?hҴG?֟۟++)p"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"AriaU C U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2)@ALLC(1) C(2) C(3) C U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2) UU = C(1) + C(2)*U(-1) + C(3)*(U(-1)-U(-2))1948Q3 2008Q4%? r@g)?˻Zc?H\ ?]`B@?V(04@aSV%?lE@EC7?57'BA8BA8BA8@@n@V(04@?BA8v?ahBoMI߭PL9?3z %? Y&ƀc?Sample (adjusted): 1948Q3 2008Q4Included observations: 242 after adjustments%? r@g)?˻Zc?H\ ?]`B@?V(04@aSV%?lE f3Z]? @ EC7? 57'@@n@V(04@?8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8`%i0[i  F0hI!!--'eT%iWi 0?F/?gteI?Ц++p"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"AriaG C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2)@ALLC(1) C(2) C(3) C(4) C(5) C(6) C(7) C(8) C(9) C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2) GG = C(1) + C(2)*G(-1) + C(3)*G(-2) + C(4)*I(-1) + C(5)*I(-2) + C(6)*R(-1) + C(7)*(R(-1)-R(-2)) + C(8)*U(-1) + C(9)*(U(-1)-U(-2))1948Q3 2008Q3tY:Z?._ ( @Rm|?Sp@Oc @4@iԉ@.sw2@q +sPQ%@/{68?Ô"_ h=BA8BA8BA8"@ n@iԉ@?BA8 -~Lf?1tMS>NBz Ls#P,n?yMg7G!cijӿ 0{?\ZG? e\?~i^Ry)[?\)_$bȧ)L?j:+Zu?IVKYlI?|b~-?WR? Q+U?J.?#r2u?=kټTjțZ6)=?8EL?iޗ#?~wqdP0?96F?i!4Әzz ?\o~CVЏ.:?.`?K԰Kl? Jie?4.\S?ŧʂA ?Sample (adjusted): 1948Q3 2008Q3Included observations: 241 after adjustmentstY:Z?._ ( @Rm|?Sp@Oc @4@iԉ@.sw2@q }@ +sPQ%@ /{68? Ô"_ h="@ n@iԉ@?8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8`%i0[i ͮ~hmhI!!-- e9%iWi }( m?Æ9??+?t^ֿCܿR{p??cSvoH-BBʭ..ϭ??<>LHp"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"AriaI C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2)@ALLC(1) C(2) C(3) C(4) C(5) C(6) C(7) C(8) C(9) C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2) II = C(1) + C(2)*G(-1) + C(3)*G(-2) + C(4)*I(-1) + C(5)*I(-2) + C(6)*R(-1) + C(7)*(R(-1)-R(-2)) + C(8)*U(-1) + C(9)*(U(-1)-U(-2))1948Q3 2008Q3! /?A @h+? 5@19ȕ?䪉10@8 Ё@!$:@cᙢ^{DWڵgL@\_?^Ú5BA8BA8BA8"@ n@8 Ё@?BA8 -N;?DtpYv.cGHQNW&G?\%IMg$JcdU?k"?f  6?hOw7'Rn5?#]i8m<ծ<ڠ_lՅ?"ȋL zP?dq@%y^#?E?y,?,0?׍\x~?@Sq?<@xhvPD2q>߯4͝ek?`g?q?[`Jy@ ?QoC#!?Tz (sV~d?cQdAW8)qYd?_^/њ?u>h?Ӓ??BS2y?(]Pc\G?Sample (adjusted): 1948Q3 2008Q3Included observations: 241 after adjustments! /?A @h+? 5@19ȕ?䪉10@8 Ё@!$:@cᙢ^{ *m@ DWڵgL@ \_? ^Ú5"@ n@8 Ё@?8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8`%i0[i ҷ~hhI!!--eL%iWi n0?3G?J?tfQ?ٱ:T?_Csλ?Q{E6?_܆?@@ݶ..??OQLHp"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"AriaR C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2)@ALLC(1) C(2) C(3) C(4) C(5) C(6) C(7) C(8) C(9) C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2) RR = C(1) + C(2)*G(-1) + C(3)*G(-2) + C(4)*I(-1) + C(5)*I(-2) + C(6)*R(-1) + C(7)*(R(-1)-R(-2)) + C(8)*U(-1) + C(9)*(U(-1)-U(-2))1948Q3 2008Q4H B?@d @@g3? g~@E!?~@0Z@ @_n븪@v?6[Mt"BA8BA8BA8"@@n@0Z@?BA8 -Wu?&FHAΤPx(;-.)ȧD?¢\jYt$tQ$d]P]`0?ǥx>?ƚAF1fTHK??AC-T}B>`?$E(?:|òU ?z#,N>p?{?YEV?^w-I?塡NBO,wtR>6zE>JD&=? zJ?VO>q$ϻz$>9 ?l:Jݔ=?hY&172;r@?/!t?P'A?n-2k?<Ĥ[R?G 9G7=?Sample (adjusted): 1948Q3 2008Q4Included observations: 242 after adjustmentsH B?@d @@g3? g~@E!?~@0Z@ @_n 4@ 븪@ v? 6[Mt""@@n@0Z@?8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8`%i0[i ~hhI!!--2e_%iWi FR?w?V ?Gɂ?: ?Pq^?!?߼vϿ@@..??#bdLHp"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"AriaU C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2)@ALLC(1) C(2) C(3) C(4) C(5) C(6) C(7) C(8) C(9) C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2) UU = C(1) + C(2)*G(-1) + C(3)*G(-2) + C(4)*I(-1) + C(5)*I(-2) + C(6)*R(-1) + C(7)*(R(-1)-R(-2)) + C(8)*U(-1) + C(9)*(U(-1)-U(-2))1948Q3 2008Q4eR? r@?˻Zc?0@ }?N56,@M?>"BA8BA8BA8"@@n@"[a>0@?BA8 -Bx?|̀Mm% <['m&q>uB0ˉ.J~*YJ\Vj;?%*>}}T>3o徒էC>;0#Lg*/}5ֹ4?0h>p־-"WF>*`f7>(8&>.;>2Uy,?&91 ?Đ?A Lp;FL3>di?|sߔ ?Q{LR!<>Ύ?G>5o p?& VD 0@ }?N5 ? 6,@ M? >""@@n@"[a>0@?8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8`%i0[i ~hhI!!&--Get%iWi W6 ?H[m&+p)utt]]? ?Qh|¶-p?QȑZ?BB.. ??8wyLH.p"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"AriaG C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2) CONS_SENTIMENT(-1) CONS_SENTIMENT(-1)-CONS_SENTIMENT(-2)@ALLC(1) C(2) C(3) C(4) C(5) C(6) C(7) C(8) C(9) C(10) C(11) C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2) CONS_SENTIMENT(-1) CONS_SENTIMENT(-1)-CONS_SENTIMENT(-2) GG = C(1) + C(2)*G(-1) + C(3)*G(-2) + C(4)*I(-1) + C(5)*I(-2) + C(6)*R(-1) + C(7)*(R(-1)-R(-2)) + C(8)*U(-1) + C(9)*(U(-1)-U(-2)) + C(10)*CONS_SENTIMENT(-1) + C(11)*(CONS_SENTIMENT(-1)-CONS_SENTIMENT(-2))1978Q3 2008Q2Y}_J?A@T4&? @7d@j@&ޑ?@s֍o@?*wopΙ@Y?1k>BA8BA8BA8&@^@&ޑ?@?BA8 B)h5@?`?8*׿E]";ԿkC??!gH˿*=T4U,-ǿ) ?Rk&?aՙAN?o/m:e2߇dRV?Sj5FHs%bq?4㠚KRr[ e'?6J|?<%1#Oez|6?@o/a?a_?uN"H?u1̮?rஞ{{kx~>Аnd"E?4G0?be8Rh?q$ZqWQ8^?gn5"zFANy?i1ד=Ti?Ӑ&@OW?Ny`u[bI~6-5tSe bYjMX?d?}\^3?l2J? yV??*Ѻ)r sZ?*?0>kx?HĪxR:l? \X˄?5ꟷu&zrZ?v ӉM".Ff?Sample (adjusted): 1978Q3 2008Q2Included observations: 120 after adjustmentsY}_J?A@T4&? @7d@j@&ޑ?@s֍o@?*wop xR@ Ι@ Y? 1k>&@^@&ޑ?@?8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8`%i0[i &$hI!!--e%iWi bHQ#Np!z?uF =??NTX?TlѽտXsO?J?+pz7?!c[?{{S::Xxx  \Xp"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Arial\=P1\=P3\ZbtiZbtP"Aria#U = unemployment rate GDP = gross domestic product GDP_PRICE = GDP price deflator R = interest rate on 3-month Treasury Bills RGDP=real GDP = 100*gdp/gdp_price G =growth rate = (100*(rgdp/rgdp(-1))^4) - 100 I=inflation = 100*(gdp_price/gdp_price(-1))^4 100 1946Q1 2008Q4four_macro_variables_data.wf1Hmk3_data041946Q1 2008Q4 %Aa&A 8 A(=B