New MicroTSP Workfile'!Zbt aCM R V@l3"BROKERS.#y\CM,` x@#C aCM+` V@:DATESWCM,` V@SG_BROKERSk\CM,` V@kG_NONFARM\CM,` V@0ОNONFARM\CM,` V@RECESSIONWCM,` V@зRESID aCM,`BnYOUR_DATA>WCM`!mcP_UPDATE\CM`^yEQ01 0J`^EQ020J`O}GRAPH_SHARE]CM`OGRAPH_VALUESQ]CM`O1TEMPLATE\CM`} 4{":|Rj-4:\BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA833333=@>@L>@L>@>@333333>@L>@L>@=@=@333333=@=@33333<@33333<@<@=@=@>@333333>@ffffff>@>@33333>@?@?@fffff?@@@@@ A@LA@̌A@A@B@@B@33333B@fffff&C@C@C@fffffC@LD@D@fffff&E@E@@F@33333F@@G@G@33333sH@I@I@J@J@̌J@ J@I@H@ H@333333G@YF@E@fffffD@YD@C@C@33333sC@fffffC@C@D@YD@333333D@ffffffD@D@333333E@̌E@fffffE@333333F@F@F@G@fffff&G@YG@YG@ffffffG@33333G@fffffG@H@H@@H@H@@I@fffffI@fffffI@LJ@J@@K@K@L@L@YM@YN@N@ffffffO@P@fffffFP@33333P@fffffP@fffffQ@@Q@Q@yQ@33333Q@33333Q@Q@R@Q@̬Q@ffffffQ@33333P@P@yP@YP@33333P@fffffO@@O@33333N@N@YN@N@̌N@fffff&N@YN@N@fffffM@LM@33333M@33333sN@33333N@P@P@P@33333Q@fffffQ@fffffQ@33333R@@R@lR@ S@̌S@S@`T@33333T@33333U@333333V@33333V@fffff&X@fffff&Y@ Z@Z@Z@333333[@ \@fffff]@]@fffffF^@fffff^@̌]@fffff^@33333^@]@ffffff]@]@fffffF_@̌_@_@̬_@̬_@,`@fffff_@``@33333s`@̬`@`@`@,a@,a@\a@fffffa@a@a@33333a@333333b@33333b@Pb@33333Cb@`b@Lb@fffffb@\b@)b@0b@a@a@fffffb@fffffa@33333a@33333`@%Az%A%A%A2%Ap%A%A%A(%Ab%A%A%A%AV%A%A%A%AL%A%A%A%A<%Az%A%A%A0%An%A%A%A&%Ab%A%A%A%AT%A%A%A %AH%A%A%A%A<%Az%A%A%A.%Aj%A%A%A"%A`%A%A%A%AT%A%A%A %AF%A%A%A%A<%Ax%A%A%A0%An%A%A%A %A^%A%A%A%AR%A%A%A %AH%A%A%A%A8%At%A%A%A,%Aj%A%A%A"%AZ%A%A%A%AN%A%A%A%AD%A%A%A%A6%At%A%A%A*%Ah%A%A%A %A\%A%A%A%AN%A%A%A%AB%A%A%A%A6%At%A%A%A(%Ad%A%A%A%AZ%A%A%A%AN%A%A%A%A>%A|%A%A%A4%Ap%A%A%A(%Af%A%A%A%AX%A%A%A%AL%A%A%A%AB%Az%A%A%A2%An%A%A%A&%Ad%A%A%A%AT%A%A%A %AH%A%A%A&A>&Az&A&A&A.&Al&A&A&A"&A`&A&A&A&AT&A&A&A &AH&A&A&A&A<&Az&A&A&A0&An&A&A&A"&A^&A&A&A&AT&A&A&A &AH &A &A &A &A8 &Av &A &A &A. &Aj &A &A &A" &A` &A &A &A &AP &A &A &A&AD&A&A&A&A:&At&A&A&A,&Ah&A&A&A &A^&A&A&A&AN&A&A&A&AB&A&A&A&A8&At&A&A&A(&Af&A&A&A&AZ&A&A&A&AN&A&A&A&A@&A|&A&A&A4&Ar&A&A&A(&Af&A&A&A&AX&A&A&A&AN&A&A&A&AB&A&A&A&A2&Ap&A&A&A(&Ad&A&A&A &AZ &A &A &A !&AJ!&A!&A!&A"&A>"&A|"&A"&A"&A4#&Al#&A#&A#&A$$&A`$&A$&A$&A%&AV%&A%&A%&A&&AH&&A&&A&&A'&A<'&Az'&A'&A'&A2(&An(&A(&A(&A")&A`)&A)&A)&A*&AT*&A*&A*&A +&AH+&A+&A+&A+&A:,&Av,&A,&A,&A.-&Al-&A-&A-&A".&A`.&A.&A.&A/&AP/&A/&A/&A0&AF0&A0&A0&A0&A:1&Ax1&A1&A1&A,2&Aj2&A2&A2&A"3&A^3&A3&A3&A4&AT4&A4&A4&A5&AD5&A5&A5&A5&A86&Av6&A6&A6&A.7&Af7&A7&A7&A8&AZ8&A8&A8&A9&AP9&A9&A9&A:&A@:&A~:&A:&A:&A4;&Ar;&A;&A;&A*<&Af<&A<&A<&A=&AZ=&A=&A=&A>&AN>&A>&A>&A?&AB?&A?&A?&A?&A4@&Ap@&A@&A@&A(A&AfA&AA&AA&AB&AZB&AB&AB&AC&AJC&AC&AC&AD&A@D&A|D&AD&AD&A4E&ArE&AE&AE&A$F&AbF&AF&AF&AG&AVG&AG&AG&AH&ALH&AH&AH&AI&A>I&AzI&AI&AI&A2J&ApJ&AJ&AJ&A(K&A`K&AK&AK&AL&ATL&AL&AL&A M&AJM&AM&AM&AN&A:N&AxN&AN&AN&A.O&AlO&AO&AO&A$P&A`P&AP&AP&AQ&ARQ&AQ&AQ&AR&AFR&AR&AR&AR&A:S&AxS&AS&AS&A.T&AjT&AT&AT&A"U&A`U&AU&AU&AV&ATV&AV&AV&AW&ADW&AW&AW&AW&A:X&AvX&AX&AX&A.Y&AlY&AY&AY&AZ&A\Z&AZ&AZ&A[&AP[&A[&A[&A\&AF\&A~\&A\&A\&A6]&Ar]&A]&A]&A*^&Ah^&A^&A^&A _&AZ_&A_&A_&A`&AN`&A`&A`&Aa&ADa&Aa&Aa&Aa&A4b&Arb&Ab&Ab&A(c&Afc&Ac&ABA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8w2x76FR[History] Imported from 'D:\aaa COURSES\FORECAST\Homeworks\03 Is your job at risk\DATA_Is_your_job_cyclical.xls'rrRBA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA887nGJ?,?Pɚ Lʤ?uHt?4ue+ǿxZE4 6s?ÿ 9ͻҥ?hN?xg?ؐ_?Rt??p^?FfF?zq? q*$?: ?ڄ?lҩ?hy?`L0 ?, n?@Ѩsk ?ez?Z^d?XP$)s ?$]y?Pt"?xc?hx0W$?B]T?٘tC?;B?Y9z?DQ?KKh?@a?'L?kJ?L:@;?lP{ ?йL?Ȓ?e]?`EܖWYʿl&ȿ@n4ӿrԿ|Xο%qֿUB׿tG\տpH ԿD8;ѿѿP<\Ng! ?@ u?AP?pCw?Ncxc?D+ '?G M?xZ?L?pt*x?H_?I2 ?(Ax=?sޔ?@+ֻ?c?hx0W$?Lj)?q1hN?hN??xՎ?^??",?"}:?ʴO?SL.?px?d?xۭb ?0W}Ŀ[|d~? n`ÿ8z>ǶnjHؿ0Y?ʟhXZĿ9ǖ޿R4Ͽp{eڿ`G5¿xڿ*ݿskؿrs%>ٿ/2TMj`ֿBM ҿP/g\¿CsοOƿl97ȿC+N޿<ߦ]%п;I/iʿH[ҿeBvlmtk ٿ ! .:?eտ`ſbN񏨣?I.0yӿ$7M?B \\ܿ76?kߐۼKԿD?p;ҿE``0~x)f.?(S?BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA82xd76hj[History] Modified: 1990M01 2009M09 => g_brokers = -1 + (brokers/brokers(-1))^12 Modified: 1990M01 2010M12 => g_brokers = -1 + (brokers/brokers(-1))^12 Modified: 1950M01 2011M12 => g_brokers = -1 + (brokers/brokers(-1))^12jBA8 'iͯ:?мZaB?pE?pfa?N?kU!?@Q8|?P4r%q?@W?r=2?帾?7m? ?d?@W,S?w? #}^?%v$? 3?c)?Ͷ?AV?@[8)?+#?*?d(8658H?}?,?@T h?j`.`?V?Df?psZ~?࿏^8V?_P6) fĿ`W;}S: P6Jtmޯ@&*⚿".@?Д?۰?As9>?`hj?**?SH夨?O ۳?@Yiw.?`8 ?@TuM?@o?k-`@J)?OY?`Y?@{G?W=y?-CJ} ?8K7k-D؛@RσGX{Ճ`yzߒzH`FO3`bWDݲ汜w]?@/mvuG?x`?aA?`t8?q ?@`Qj? DKѕ?@F?u"q?@O?% Z?M=c?Ԏٱ'v?o?@?v? ?*sF?h?gJ |x?w?@q]?۝lNݬ?+b?_WN?mf?@H(?HFFo?U?F cxtÖ?[?"v+ ?v?ҒM%Fu?`r\?K:'?9uȑ?`]\? s??ॏ?`QL?祡3?U`v? ٿֹc?")|?@_:?v' UE`?`]zxApP_ī0/z@:u'Rl@?? K󍐿 Z?0b¯??M.?aI?`? cvb? t ?+p?7va?WMQ9J?mWf?y%;?,&?@Q$?@\?N5`?D r? d?>? CX=?5n ?@iG/?` zw3?`O?n ھ?mc+?Ӏu?aR?+}?U\Jk??꥔I?|?i~?@?7iײufࣟϤSzSjh V?@) ?7sf? )Oا?蘏?B؅҉?mb)?d;?k٣?xU?Q?4J?yrFs%;O'ᴊ@)ˡjrl0RLH- J+0~^.:Ţcexx`(S\2#{<ŝHOâl=^?|pW+?`af]? `?l? jQF?/y(FOU?66A?nW$?R/S?5E?@A&W?`v;Qp?~7d?Zi?/miN?ߋ?@7U)? ¿z?`?_R?@Ua?@E?gt?ڏ?%qy??(ß?v?U?@9?{ $?兰?'Pu?ebk,?hg}ߎ?̊???@$l ?007?]ꆿ\Е?2?Nå? 5ӎЊ?Ǵ>q?ן~ou?~q??7S?qv՟?>QN?J;?3?@m߮i? Yq?@Ґ?7Uw^?GrI E*2Qa쑿 h}z˙;`㎢ڌҢ^ك?YHuTfD[? l*o?& U?B?zLWd?P>Mv?z,}v?x? /61?={?o~?AK ?Zo?@w'?dJŏ?? k?Rn?iuȼv洊?Q=?*h?s3㞠?@}ǒ ? F?F?@?`~v+?P?sa@-?Wĩ?5m?`T5?q8C?@?ojT?FE?x O?`v:Y?"v?X&A?@5uI?@s?-,?_}Z ?J?Z4Zœ?R?rK\??Wn?B_(t"?8D(?(uÐ?`?J]?\(?ZE?i?g?E?j ?W?-?q&?#G5k??x?jK?k \{A?@V0"?Vvu~??Q?p(ʒ?"?@[D?*?+UB?]\?XBo?+?th?X?u? IrMʠ?jx?HO?,nv?;oW?dj?/?K? wLk?f[?fȰ?`|&?@zv?@?چ?@h0??+2?$L^q~!?@Ce1? BԆ?Z\P@ d?mʼn?(oW-v?w9f6 ™πSp?aVy$ @=қ*^b`uu(eĻGsN~}zbd/vP>Edq?@*5pt]!Xؗtn?%H? 8r?@r9ǘؓjrmJ*B9("b?ܸokq?\w]?8i q7[?bh܉?.az? +o?c) >?z1[\??$?DФʝ?oۃ?JTʊ?bLs?-\Ʒ5Fy˸r?sb~?r|?{By?~Lq~gK3g&Rcl@9`=v@8@Y,40`@l){0pNˁͭXB@15H5ⰿpYf{Bɡ(o0ʔ kГ ̡ @%fUx?{\@U?Zrzm?@ ?SG?冠Ĥ?sqX]xܠ!}^b-B?ũdz?bhQw?BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA82xd76[History] Modified: 1990M01 2009M09 => g_nonfarm = -1 + (nonfarm/nonfarm(-1))^12 Modified: 1990M01 2010M12 => g_nonfarm = -1 + (nonfarm/nonfarm(-1))^12 Modified: 1950M01 2011M12 => g_nonfarm = -1 + (nonfarm/nonfarm(-1))^12?@A@@$@v@@@@1@`@@@@@@@ @ ;@_@^@j@`x@w@q@`j@ q@@@`@@@@@@@@@@@7@S@~@ |@`@@@@`@@@@@@@@@^@D@`'@@@ @@@@@ @ @@`@`@ +@=@`e@@@@ @@@@1@K@`@x@@@@@@@^@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ @m@/@ @@@ @@@ @@&@#@\@o@ @@@ @%@5@`E@ @@ @`0@s@@@ @@@@@`@@@z@p@@Y@=@`6@&@3@@/@B@ [@m@`@`@ @@@`@`@@ &@@)@+@@8@C@ U@ ]@^@`[@f@t@@@@@@@`@@@@@@@3@@E@`H@ ]@m@@@@@@ @@@3@`L@@l@@@@`@@@@"@E@ n@@@@@@M@e@`@@@`@@@`@@@`@ @` @@%@0'@+@H@@U@PO@h@n@0~@@@@@@p@@@@@ @ @@+@>@D@U@`P@\@[@d@`@`h@q@@k@ ]@@W@X@@Q@PR@p7@0@`H@ M@PI@L@W@d@Pe@@i@l@@|@}@@@@Я@@@@@@@@!@;@PM@``@@v@@@@`@`@@@@P@P@0 @@@p@#@0-@0@2@1@`1@02@0@@@p@@@@p@@ @@@@ @*@>@L@[@\@a@k@u@@@@Ж@@@@@@ @ @#@@9@ H@d@ u@Ќ@@0@@@P@0 @@p:@PJ@[@ d@ y@p@ @@@@@@@`@ @0 @@@"@+@/@6@-@@@@@@P@P'@3@p9@=@ D@H@`I@U@\@`Z@T@N@A@@0@@p@`@@@@`@@0@@ @@@P@p@@@@@p@@P@E@V@l@ @@@0@@ @@P#@`2@E@W@m@pu@@Ѝ@p@@@@@@p@ @0@@`@ @%@1@p9@3@G@N@0d@o@{@@@@p@@ @P@@@@@ @P,@:@ M@S@@o@@Џ@@@@0@p@0@`@p@'@7@C@N@ V@p]@_@b@`r@Py@@@@@@@0@@@@@к@@@@@p@p@@r@@j@o@l@m@o@p@m@pn@q@`m@p@`z@@@@p@@@p@@@@p@@@@@@p@@ @0@PA@Q@d@u@0@@ @@@0@@@*@pD@U@i@v@@@@ @@@P@@@@@@P@`@$@5@pD@P@p^@m@ @@@@@@p@p@@@@@!@6@I@`\@@m@y@@`@p@@ @ @@@@@@ 9@?@@W@d@0u@`@`@@@@@@@`@p A`AhAAA(A A A'A(,A+A-A,A#Ax"AxAAA AAP@0@@@@@@@P@@@@@@@0@p@@@@p@@@@@P@@ @@@@@@@ A A AAA A"A&A(+A2A7AXBAGAPOAZA`AbAeAoAtA}AHAȐA8A0AXAAA AxAAHAXAAAAAPAAxAAAAAAAAhA0A(AA(AآAAzAeAhMA6A0AAA@`@ @@@@@@ @@@ @ @0@@@@@@@BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8e6,<"ArialĢ"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢ"ArialĢZNJ2xd76[History] Imported from 'D:\aaa COURSES\FORECAST\Homeworks\03 Is your job at risk\DATA_Is_your_job_cyclical.xls'rr*???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????,2xd76[History] Imported from 'D:\aaa COURSES\FORECAST\Homeworks\03 Is your job at risk\DATA_Is_your_job_cyclical.xls'rrLBA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8DۏEMP̴uSOWc?Z;‘v8@{t? #ſ*sb?)e[^?*^8oݹ??⎯ϲ?Q!0?hF,G?\")UP?@ÒI?Eg?pꤿQ?P ?2o[܋?ӿe?x Lm?@Dmǧ?p(wx?O#?&U2?vYyR ?F&?mV?h,ug{ܰn̺??ʡ +?H ?(?s@Rf'>?E'7? ?2??aҳ?:a?̿Lm?*w9?VC`ɿ( Ϳ'XdAkRYzͿÉfiȿq\Aʿ>{ɿ|Vſ \ƿrpL]#x"Ŀx$B9x?|qo+NtG|?؁OTb?]]?)ʿMϛ??h5ʓ?A%"?tL?l?x6;*?tZ`Q_?r˼֣? @{),(?t݂ɳ?hbr *7귨EM,U+iK?<֍?DAH??d󛿋Ee?z9!?`RQ?m}?? \6?9O9?J?Ty _'?J&?P*|?d9Sd?e֜p#/־?Dfe }_i׭?r__HĿ˚d?^%,?.`?/8?-#լI¿8Ŀ˶ӾmRʿ`gFG8V?UrGſk٪8p{'ʿ@H0>I43Yf&5M?¡ԏ;igRȿE9q{?y5|˿AkhaFYͿj(?uW?|G?[|?z?&>׿iQ?wxSj?fоM?{[·U?8:>?DvP;0eK?M?jZ5?L% B?Pݏ&0/e??zȜ?#dL׿fR ?>l?xl 9?D?!;h ?X:CVz`O˜ڿD0R?M˺O6:"ȿdu6 c?b8}?QAzۿ\p霿 ]@vn_l#,?S+EwؿqO?o̿?H@H?ſa_T!?'}3 ;7?k, =?VhVԿ p9?hf#ɿyBY?`$m˿%?j<ĿƏݞKS?-e_?b_͙̿9>s?:w#/ʿ"]o]M?&[VFҿy;#^׿D ?c$Ͽ4jmEÿX ۿQ Aι'Կr?hmؿV ѿD6RAſ%?G˿s!/ҿ[Gf"?4CR7 ѿkyLd ?%~N?:xjſjL˩ ֿM?̝^NÿU[,γ?ܙ?5ҡ?\P#ؿ&ˡ?iBܿfXw%#?\:׿y?,b}пg|4ݿS=wc0?EȿaҿP-)?6e~ۿf?՟i B?UĿ ¿BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA82x76&2xd76[History] Imported from 'D:\aaa COURSES\FORECAST\Homeworks\03 Is your job at risk\DATA_Is_your_job_cyclical.xls'rrbgenr g_nonfarm = -1 + (nonfarm/nonfarm(-1))^12 genr g_brokers = -1 + (brokers/brokers(-1))^12 G_NONFARM C G_NONFARM(-1) RECESSION1990M01 2011M09C(1) C(2) C(3) C G_NONFARM(-1) RECESSION G_NONFARMG_NONFARM = C(1) + C(2)*G_NONFARM(-1) + C(3)*RECESSION1990M01 2010M12B@X?"3mFo?m?PS?Aڻ??evn?cҍ@x+Zqp@I]@!1C03BA8BA8BA8@o@vn??BA88=3z}>un5>SȄyEt`?n?}>Sample (adjusted): 1990M01 2010M12Included observations: 252 after adjustmentsB@X?"3mFo?m?PS?Aڻ??evn?cҍ@ 敡 x+Zqp@ I]@ !1C03@o@vn??8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8`@z>>@z>0>{\rtf1\ansi\deff0 {\fonttbl{\f0\fnil Arial;}} {\colortbl;\red255\green25]mF0 `CM##S--ve@@z> >18 {\ul0 Includedpcw?p?zg$$ 77&]p"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢZbtiZbt"AriaG_BROKERS C G_BROKERS(-1) RECESSION@ALLC(1) C(2) C(3) C G_BROKERS(-1) RECESSION G_BROKERSG_BROKERS = C(1) + C(2)*G_BROKERS(-1) + C(3)*RECESSION1990M03 2010M11 ?/?9?<┑c?֗??xh$?f@upxVy;BA8BA8BA8@ o@.cWc%@?BA89EذL-?'0ݐ}AR/&qPg?U&.=?-7fY?Sample (adjusted): 1990M03 2010M11Included observations: 249 after adjustments ?/?9?<┑c?֗??xh$?f@ upxVy;@ o@.cWc%@?8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8`@z>>@z>0>{\rtf1\ansi\deff0 {\fonttbl{\f0\fnil Arial;}} {\colortbl;\red255\green25l|F0 aCM##b--e@@z> >18 {\ul0 Includedpkfr?·BA=<:-99988!76368m;@|EDIkAA#::o94s631!1 677U09 p`T"ArialĢNJHPv$Mortgage Brokers and Total Nonfarm Payroll Jobs Recessions Shaded: Peak+1 to TroughjTP"ArialĢUUee`T@,@8`T`@a@[q `Tk@@m@Brokers (Left Scale)"&p; "ArialĢ Total Nonfarm (Right Scale):  "ArialĢMortgage Brokers, Thousand, NSANONFARM6,<"ArialĢ"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢ"ArialĢ <ZZ\\P 33333<@fffffb@g;R@zIA@777763jm yHKP!#)&(*0-2/411.0--*&#" O|JMS !%#Y#&$&$Z$%\&&&')+c-d.02395;78@v> <>@BFKJO%S'UWX`Z`jce jmsx{^f; ޠ¶¶Y8=ʟtͨFxKNNR)bc,[&OMI񲀨 jU ~wrwpo?khec]YVRQVQVQKLHF~FBEJE??>:>^O^O`TE@J@ `TW@X@`T_@`@T#Y`Tn@@o@z*`Tq@r@5`Tv@v@l8`Tw@x@H`Tp~@~@-\`T8@p@Uhl`T@H@NONFARM6,<"ArialĢ"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢZbtiZbt"ArialĢ"ArialĢ9ph30\t @$@AڼOqQ@lEY@wS    M ? 3 | J CDi\2=QZ:=l^2 (QLK~1}Y &lQ4mz BJONJIiRt6pL2U |UG0suXe%_2BN& O Y F !!!!9"""v#c###$%%%%R&&'J']((K))[*++,,v- ..i/<00p1p2334A55 667788_86888F999":X;;;<<==d>>w??u@!AAGBBwCCDQEEAFFFvFFFGcGGFOFaFFFEDEEEEUFFF G,GGGaH IInJ,KKL=MM2NNOKPQQRSTT*U:UU*VVWX@XXXX`YYYYYYXW5V?UTTTҧi 妘ѥiऍƤȤϤؤΤ5ۥ7Nn ꨲ^ΪG𭸮fвK1ʷ|LԹdͺúX<ۼ:-¬;ØŚ](Nj/%̈7βQўуӍF$r|ֵ@ة&کڲq/ R ;4#@-vZNޫVܯܫ܉[ܭܲM܃ܓson~bۥ)5܅݀I~ߝS7`^k M2NC<`S%G~bO]uݕ yt?Xܻܻܫ3aݤU0"p`T"ArialĢ`y``9```Y```y`NJAHPv01950M01 2011M12 IF @YEAR>1989A hw5_w_broker_data.wf1[History] New Page: d:\aaa courses\forecast\homeworks\03 is your job at risk\data_is_your_job_cyclical.xls // range=Eviews!$A$1:$E$718Untitled@ALL IF @YEAR>1989*  b%AKj&A $_ ! A(= =e