New MicroTSP Workfile'!MI  hhUCMR xCTCM+` V@d ,G-TCM,` V@.-8GDP9SCM,` V@9@EGDP_PRICEFSCM,` V@FQISTCM,` V@S^R_{TCM,` V@_RESIDTCM,` V@chRGDPqTCM,` V@q}U:~kTCM,`!L~_UPDATE獶K`^xEQ1_GROWTHK`^EQ1_INFLATIONK`^EQ1_RATESK`^oEQ1_UNEMPLOYMENTK`^EQ2_GROWTHK`^EQ2_INFLATIONK`^ĵEQ2_RATESK`^EQ2_UNEMPLOYMENTK`!.$>INFOhI`4R L,9E4Q43_Qhp4}'+[?HW!^6S Et}w+?ӲTZ?mصRTWuK0?yB?z7?!c[?2x7B BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8B?2ڿX?GY@ @pILמ@s1@@Q5?phx;k{@i-W *Ј'1@;(@8]愹0@A5 @uc@eqxo@E.@J : @_" 4`-'@sՆ/+@@z@j@p!H@K4ر),f`3`$*?%\9$@,4`!@a(@p<.@t7@>` @t).;?0 4ƫ?B @(H{z @q¢OGH @/۞ؗ"C#>?ʀ:&@ <&@pҺS@Xh #@ 4@tF3?@#䛶$@tWp ?K P {PU:`@ߴ@7Ӝ@`}{ ~!@`}u@ RGy@ y @?m@ G@0M5=@@|.5@P]x;!@0-e@$@VO?;e%@*y@GsF8 @2iG$@`~($@@T?oh@:E@Z6? HiJ @@,&?{@@JwUn@F @Fb@^5@p;2{U@@KWV?d@U@@`"G@ϼ?0F~N@j9b?r7X62A wJ*/@;~?f]%?з|@v@@S5@?`@!%1@@ @@0B@N8@۔4@Y@ m@8›@g,Q@^ Y@{O4v @d^@'П@`af@tlrS@@]3r @p0~@ȇb@/" @ @@>@̼@gffffO@Ƥ@33333H@P@gffff¥@Ʀ@֧@@Ҩ@gffff@@Q@̔@@j@gffff4@33333@33333Ь@̾@@@@33333@3333O@L@3333ް@gffff@33333G@L@L@@3333N@@@T@Ló@@@L@M@gfff朵@3333͵@L@gffff@ڶ@ֶ@33333@J@3333@̷@3333.@33333@3333@]@@3333޹@L @̝@L@L@ۻ@33333P@3333@̻@@v@33333ֽ@x@3333Ծ@W@ɿ@fffff*@3333l@ٜ@L@L@G@@L@L@̌^@@@̌n@@gfff@̌@gfff@ @̌B@Y@3333@@3333s@33333D@ @@@L@@33333@@W@3333s@-@gffffr@@9@@gfff@3333sF@@@\@@gfff@33333@gfffC@3333sJ@@p@@i@Y@gfff@333337@Yy@̌@33333 @BA8BA8BA8BA86,<"Arial"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"Arial"Arialw} {\NJ512xZ768[History] Imported from 'D:\aaa COURSES\FORECAST\Homeworks\01 a What is GDP\HW data What is GDP.xls'ff(9BA8BA8BA8BA8*@q= ף0+@L7A`+@ʡE6,@I +,@Mb,@S[-@'1Z-@S㥛D-@E-@J +,@E,@MbX,@d;O,@!rhm-@!rh-@(\.@A`"/@rh1@ +Y1@̌1@ƫ1@v1@Cl1@uV2@M"2@-2@m22@1ZD2@vO2@X9v^2@V-r2@S{2@V-2@L7A`2@`"۹2@2@K72@(\2@M2@ˡE2@ ףp= 3@K3@bX9(3@J +63@Zd;3@jtD3@oa3@ʡEs3@S㥛3@w/3@NbX93@}?5^3@K7A3@J +3@t4@/$54@-f4@K4@ʡ4@9v4@n5@l15@Vm5@ r5@gffff5@#~j6@^I k6@/ݤ6@V-6@ClG7@V-7@S7@V-=8@;On8@ˡE8@> ףp9@~jts9@Gz9@bX99@h|?U:@#~j|:@|?5^:@"~ ;@/d;@`";@5^I b<@X9v<@ףp= w=@ >@㥛 ?@A`@@zGa@@uV@@V-@@'1:A@SkA@vA@ףp= A@h|?%B@SsB@+پB@x&C@~jtSC@QC@/$D@+^D@ +D@n*E@;OE@zG!F@ rhF@㥛 G@G@V-H@SH@OnrI@-I@n`J@ʡEJ@ףp= 7K@> ףpK@(\K@%C;L@ +yL@uVL@K7L@+.M@S㥋M@Zd;M@|?5N@S;N@jtN@?5^IN@lN@V-O@"~:O@OnbO@QO@V-O@+P@+P@(\?P@w/]P@+~P@d;OP@'1P@rhP@|?5^*Q@/$VQ@NbX9tQ@MbQ@"Q@ClQ@-&R@rhLR@ףp= R@x&1R@?5^IR@sh|R@A`R@9vS@> ףp-S@MbXIS@HzgS@ S@V-S@NbX9S@S@nS@QT@x&1 T@ףp= ?T@/$VT@NbX9lT@ףp= T@~jtT@"T@K7T@T@U@U@Cl+U@ r@U@jtHU@tVU@OnjU@FxU@㥛 U@(\U@A`кU@U@jtU@bX9V@'1:V@"VV@J +~V@;OV@/$V@K7V@tV@Zd;V@5^I W@E4W@Mb`W@RqW@~jtW@y&1W@-W@NbX9X@MbXIX@KwX@K7X@GzX@GzY@SY@CY@QY@FY@I +Z@ClWZ@y&1Z@L7A`Z@\(Z@VZ@{G[@Zd;_[@`"I[@(\][@Qc[@jtp[@1Zl[@L7A`}[@ףp= [@p= [@o[@BA8BA8BA8BA86,<"Arial"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"Arial"ArialHw} {\NJA32xZ76RE[History] Imported from 'D:\aaa COURSES\FORECAST\Homeworks\01 a What is GDP\HW data What is GDP.xls'ffEBA8BA8BA8BA8BA8VR@]@hl @l=9@d@O πH@r봿?nm<$C YoL(*=t?d9 @@Ki -@AgX@@|?Y(W@'W???Yj@@~w#{?u?)j? ?R}!u?@!i? ?gQϿg"C?5? UͲ@GQJ<@`7d@`!̿@`&@`><@ +y@ 텉T@ 6׹J@@H @T5@ ك @@x]?k?w5?%;: ?n"??49?W? .?佂?ݢ?o?"=?:d:?6H? R dtu@}.V @!߰@@X/@@hd5@s# @p@@a[@~%) @J@,L@p]L ^@s@@WN!@xFۇ"@*@ 7e)@G.#@PϥU{@&@z<@ZF@p=H3@o@@h@P\T@ xe3@@v(@  @p`'6@NW@i@ n @F`/@ Tz/$@ !@rYO]O @H!"@ѱx"@@~"@⪞'@aS%@{XQ@ƍ9@5<@P}mD@6@pѭ@:+A@ @ I@ L@@Lc@I{?@@S"A @ċu @ }@{L@@WB@l^?`]@_a@@x̼?U?ڵe?L؀*?*<^ְ?%t?c[?@@Yoy @W@Eeo?@@oB @'w?rLZ?2[?Q"8W @r i=100*(gdp_price/gdp_price(-1))^4-100 Modified: 1946Q1 2009Q4 => i=100*(gdp_price/gdp_price(-1))^4-100 Modified: 1946Q1 2011Q4 => i=100*(gdp_price/gdp_price(-1))^4-100 RRQ?RQ?RQ?RQ?RQ?RQ?_,Œ?6i?Gz???= ףp=?Q?Q?K~?:m:? t@?t@ t?Q?c/b??ףp= ? t@?(\??Y%X??K~K?Gz?:m:@O贁N?_,Œ?(\?HzG?DDDDDD?RQ?_,Œ??N?K~@6i@@@DDDDDD@ƒ_,@Q @:m @{Gz @贁N?6i?zG?Q@0b/@@RQ @Q@b/@%X@zG@t@ t@@m:m@m:m@Gz@/b@@Q@N贁@A t@@Q@Y%X @Œ_, @= ףp= @i6 @Œ_, @wwwwww @Q@b/@@@q= ףp@Y%X@,Œ_,@ףp= @ t@ @HzG @333333@6i@333333@Gz@/b@Y%X@_,Œ_@/b@K~@j6i@ףp= @N@O贁N@j6i@Q@@ ףp= @Q@~K~ @)\(@zG@t@ t@@j6i@%X @@wwwwww@O贁N @zGa @q= ףp@@_,Œ@RQ@N贁@@:m@@K~@Q@\(\@b/@q= ףp@_,Œ@贁N@A t@@p= #!@DDDDD"@A t"@Y%X#@/bɯ'@N*@;#@O贁N"@:m:+@Gz,@i6-@贁N.@'@:m)@ףp= (@""""""@:m@6i6 @K~ @HzG"@!@ףp= W"@K~#@p= ף$@贁N!@] @ףp= @m:m@@b/@(\@K~@j6i@%X%@:m@-Œ_,@t@ t@K~@ףp= @ ףp= @贁N@Gz!@R @`,Œ_@6i@ ףp= @b/@贁N@(\@K~@> ףp=@N贁@)\(@%X%@q= ףp @@(\@Gz@@:m@{Gz@%X @K~@贁N@Q@%X@c/b@xwwwww@ ףp= @Q@Gz@c/b@贁N@= ףp=@0b/@0b/@\(\@7i6@贁N@K~K@6i@:m@i6@@-Œ_,@Gz@@ t@@@DDDDDD@HzG @\(\ @N贁?_,Œ?wwwwww?K~K?UUUUUU?N贁?p= ף?(\?VUUUUU?UUUUUU?:m:?/b?t@ @K~K@贁N@zG @6i@_,Œ@i6@:m@6i@@%X@7i6@Q @Y%X@:m?K~?b/?N贁N?0b/?t@ ?6i?N贁N?ƒ_,?t@ ?K~?BA8BA8BA8BA83-Month Treasury Bill: Secondary Market Rate TB3MSe6,<"Arial"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"Arial"Arial33n[w} {\NJ[2xd76^[Display Name] 3-Month Treasury Bill: Secondary Market Rate TB3MS [History] Modified: 1934M01 2009M12 // r=nannE_BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA82w?` kGj?B?\Sf?X ? c|*ȴɿȪJAO{r?(&׿nK_.?tf/?T0߿6̿]m?s# /?7pAͥ?|.? `a ?BY?0ӿwyIdĿhkܗLn7?(\ƿUrWϿM șEbFԿ|@/Jc (?v1tGпVÿ`m T8z߯ZVѿܯ?+?f7?1YS׿[|o?~`?832<ǿF@yq̿R?8 Ti?]pV1пO"P?@X뵿NV/5пyV$?KU׿yw?k$M?>_?0xԿ ?/q?uqԿТL:?[; ?~U?,1[˿d 6Doǿ,b?uH]f?[Ϳ?4^ֿ \>?Sja:$(?#ӿP(Bj?a95GӒ>?B:?? ޿Q x?-?hD̿!N??hTh?Mð?3?$)ΈP?< Zѿۅ_ſHh5{uP?idjK?mw(vj`?q?"xJʸ ?!ed??c?ԩͿ>|x|=`Qǿ!tпZ^/ ҍ|˚?hDf_ȿ;C? V3+ɿ}:7F ?3݈?п@iq? 0Q? Aa?la?u@ƿeȿby3?.G1?ʈ?W,~?|.@;鿿;q?"wm7?dJpuV̿Y[{f ,?|ͿX\?пxn ]p?AZ^-ʿ$3֢|7[ ;9ԋR?8ɿ _p4CIf?\ѿrBC?Xeٱ..Q> !%?DRYӻrMǿ͚L?+a)ȿ`MQ:?aּHпpkG?}O5ʿCٖ@?uK?ӥT[¿Ac,A?X Fefϯ?C[-@mY)?ô@ΰ+^D?>t7Hjj ң? Pxk¿|ޗ@G};տ _{8&żjLڿ3LRO7 Ŀɑ?]̶wV?>]f?ԡ[P?›GE?dF? B~i?ʻ ?T$g?CG^ $?r?~C,i?BA8BA8BA8BA82x76hBA8BA8BA8BA8[՘@L0@%!*@D+@k~@s n@#,$@WI@z'Wќ@t_@I|Ӊ@`}@I@L EӞ@'@!6b[@_@O)?A@f0}.@&-@ER@ۉK@KBz@B @; ]@7쒑@儷d@ӧyz@r$#@d@ʵ9@C>W@ɍ'O+@u@EU׷@Rⱏ@7Vϣ@TPA@(@nl.@AAZ@J-=7M@Lu@[E#@g@cjH@ѿE@FGѤ@ 3_1@υ/@bH6@>Y@mF@^*%@zI#*@SHJ٥@@U.Pj@^(ʦ@@G{F@ò@ V @QF$@o1@[5@` Ԩ@BhױL@:@]5@c_@ܲ@P}ɪ@xňw@ϤY-ի@Spa@?@^wAH̭@ u!ݭ@<]@Y@扂@ vˮ@i:vڮ@ j }@sV{@E}O @Ե=@P@Q@a杰@4ҷ@@#3@,ɥ@(]˰@icTf@U!I@QIU+@ϧnO@\@2l@%Y@ B@ua@4ˈ @s|Rk<@^+ȑ#@202_@6-@@@@W @*@*)@ܲ@y.@Dmun@Ǭݳ@Ng@'%@]H@m>@;ے{@Z?;@o ;u U@<]@,/@C mc@Kg@n-@<¶@^wk@D@P@:  @Ao薎@X @Dk@}hB@=J@D7 @@e^۶@uFQ@?ć@G@z@#41@i‘@.OO.@q%뮸@ KH+@qq@nֹ@v@].L@4z@[@7`%@!ߪh@'qeʆ@Llƻ@FzbQ@jIι"@~N:d@ڒл @%: $@̙K@Ru~@;E\ͽ@3Jw/@Y ~@ևBU@Xf@/G@CA[@_/{@\A*;z@M2@@v @QY\B@fݸe@=d@NEYڿ@u@bsD@4p@օw@{E* @@cw@R @bXF@wL d@S.ѕ@8Ÿ@M@_e@g@p/@Ib@7fZG@@!@?)j$@We@@s'6@ B2@+@ bd@Fi@8@(\D"@aD@6@P5@<@>F" $@G@wg4@$@{0:@}$Zj@5݉@Zm?8^@Ba@yMÌ@z-@&AO@(@huv@Wf @-˲,@a<@&z@xS@xlO@xs+@1ly5:@=P@:VR@#@@Y[k@ @-V@َ9 @@4@_d@+zp@ :@ &@79k@p@z@~@Y@J~(!@BA8BA8BA8BA82xZ76p[History] Modified: 1947Q1 2009Q4 // rgdp = 100*gdp / gdp_price Modified: 1946Q1 2009Q4 // rgdp = 100*gdp / gdp_price Modified: 1946Q1 2011Q4 // rgdp = 100*gdp / gdp_priceqBA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8BA8 @UUUUUU @""""""@@@wwwwww@@@@DDDDDD@@@ @@UUUUUU @ @@@ @@@@@ @@333333@@UUUUUU@@@ffffff@@""""""@@@@xwwwww@ffffff@@@333333@xwwwww@UUUUUU@xwwwww@UUUUUU@ffffff@@ffffff@@@""""""@@333333@@@@@""""""@DDDDDD@""""""@@@@DDDDDD@@@@@@@xwwwww@ffffff@@@""""""@ @@@ffffff@333333@ @ @DDDDDD @333333 @333333 @wwwwww @ @ @@@@UUUUUU@@@""""""@@@@DDDDDD@wwwwww@@@333333@@@@@ffffff@ @!@ @ @@DDDDDD@@@@@@@UUUUUU@@""""""@@xwwwww@@xwwwww@@333333@UUUUUU@@@@@@xwwwww @!@"@#@VUUUUU%@$@DDDDDD$@"@!@wwwwww@@@333333@@333333@@""""""@""""""@@@UUUUUU@ffffff@@@UUUUUU@@@@UUUUUU@@@@xwwwww@333333@VUUUUU@@@ffffff@VUUUUU@xwwwww@ffffff@xwwwww@ffffff@@xwwwww@@DDDDDD@333333@@DDDDDD@@@@@@@DDDDDD@""""""@@@VUUUUU@@@xwwwww@@@@""""""@@333333@@@DDDDDD@""""""@wwwwww@@333333@@@UUUUUU@@@UUUUUU@@xwwwww@xwwwww@@@UUUUUU@@ffffff@@@333333@ffffff@@@@@@@@@@333333@@333333@""""""@@ffffff @"@UUUUUU#@#@ffffff#@DDDDDD#@""""""#@DDDDDD#@BA8BA8BA8BA8Civilian Unemployment Rate UNRATEe6,<"Arial"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"Arial"Arial##zw} {\NJ8z2xd76}[Display Name] Civilian Unemployment Rate UNRATE [History] Modified: 1934M01 2010M12 // u=na^^}smpl @all genr rgdp = 100*gdp / gdp_price genr g = -100+100*( rgdp/rgdp(-1) )^4 genr i=100*(gdp_price/gdp_price(-1))^4-100 equation eq1_growth.ls g c g(-1) g(-2) equation eq1_inflation.ls i c i(-1) i(-2) i(-3) equation eq1_rates.ls r c r(-1) r(-1)-r(-2) equation eq1_unemployment.ls u c u(-1) u(-1)-u(-2) equation eq2_growth.ls g c g(-1) g(-2) i(-1) i(-2) r(-1) r(-1)-r(-2) u(-1) u(-1)-u(-2) equation eq2_inflation.ls i c g(-1) g(-2) i(-1) i(-2) r(-1) r(-1)-r(-2) u(-1) u(-1)-u(-2) equation eq2_rates.ls r c g(-1) g(-2) i(-1) i(-2) r(-1) r(-1)-r(-2) u(-1) u(-1)-u(-2) equation eq2_unemployment.ls u c g(-1) g(-2) i(-1) i(-2) r(-1) r(-1)-r(-2) u(-1) u(-1)-u(-2) G C G(-1) G(-2)1946Q1 2011Q4C(1) C(2) C(3) C G(-1) G(-2) GG = C(1) + C(2)*G(-1) + C(3)*G(-2)1947Q4 2010Q4BA8BA8BA8@o@a2ݬ@?BA8b/Iݼ?%$‿7Kcμ$p?j (yWp;p?Sample (adjusted): 1947Q4 2010Q4Included observations: 253 after adjustments@o@a2ݬ@?30\trpaddl0\trpaddr0\trpaddfl3\trpaddfr3\trrh225\clvertalb\clmgf\cellx2047\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx3150\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx4357\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx5565\clvertalb\cellx6562\intbl \ql\cf2 \f0 \fs18 {\ul0 Included observa`nF0TCM!!T--ue?[&?G@T?V?,;##=\p"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"AriaI C I(-1) I(-2) I(-3)1946Q1 2011Q4C(1) C(2) C(3) C(4) C I(-1) I(-2) I(-3) II = C(1) + C(2)*I(-1) + C(3)*I(-2) + C(4)*I(-3)1948Q1 2010Q4>v ? @ fq#@?<@8K?ʩͥ(@KٵIo_@ (H@#s6so}e\ &c@ +?l{?rk4BA8BA8BA8@o@KٵIo_@?BA8 l?ʞ@SEaU#9~b%>.Wp?#hcr/ Nv^u?c4@p?Sample (adjusted): 1948Q1 2010Q4Included observations: 252 after adjustments>v ? @ fq#@?<@8K?ʩͥ(@KٵIo_@ (H@#s6so} h~!WV@ e\ &c@ +? l{?rk4@o@KٵIo_@?30\trpaddl0\trpaddr0\trpaddfl3\trpaddfr3\trrh225\clvertalb\clmgf\cellx2047\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx3150\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx4357\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx5565\clvertalb\cellx6562\intbl \ql\cf2 \f0 \fs18 {\ul0 Included observaVdfPTCM!!j--e+dJ?%l?+mm?]?և$00&$ rp"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"AriaR C R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2)1946Q1 2011Q4C(1) C(2) C(3) C R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) RR = C(1) + C(2)*R(-1) + C(3)*(R(-1)-R(-2))1946Q3 2010Q4ϻ[?Rs@~WxX?B/]@x?I$ϒ}@\@ִ%@npi0cSm@&Y,1?몌BA8BA8BA8@ p@\@?BA8RSx?3Aq N)ї>? Mi{*?zj+8kg5n?Sample (adjusted): 1946Q3 2010Q4Included observations: 258 after adjustmentsϻ[?Rs@~WxX?B/]@x?I$ϒ}@\@ִ%@np `):@ i0cSm@ &Y,1? 몌@ p@\@?30\trpaddl0\trpaddr0\trpaddfl3\trpaddfr3\trrh225\clvertalb\clmgf\cellx2047\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx3150\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx4357\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx5565\clvertalb\cellx6562\intbl \ql\cf2 \f0 \fs18 {\ul0 Included observajxF0TCM!!^--eLӶ?qQ?b7-? (=++?fp"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"AriaU C U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2)1946Q1 2011Q4C(1) C(2) C(3) C U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2) UU = C(1) + C(2)*U(-1) + C(3)*(U(-1)-U(-2))1948Q3 2010Q4'5?8gDio@Z?d?1V]?P?^RZ5@sh?sC9`G')(&P@Ou?L~BA8BA8BA8@@o@^RZ5@?BA8:[s?r1I!k=? XA"?\X7 Eb?Sample (adjusted): 1948Q3 2010Q4Included observations: 250 after adjustments'5?8gDio@Z?d?1V]?P?^RZ5@sh?sC9`G 0K*B? ')(&P@ Ou? L~@@o@^RZ5@?30\trpaddl0\trpaddr0\trpaddfl3\trpaddfr3\trrh225\clvertalb\clmgf\cellx2047\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx3150\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx4357\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx5565\clvertalb\cellx6562\intbl \ql\cf2 \f0 \fs18 {\ul0 Included observaWeF0TCM!!K--le*X?xm?g?9:?*++,Sp"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"AriaG C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2)1946Q1 2011Q4C(1) C(2) C(3) C(4) C(5) C(6) C(7) C(8) C(9) C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2) GG = C(1) + C(2)*G(-1) + C(3)*G(-2) + C(4)*I(-1) + C(5)*I(-2) + C(6)*R(-1) + C(7)*(R(-1)-R(-2)) + C(8)*U(-1) + C(9)*(U(-1)-U(-2))1948Q3 2010Q4|F?5AD?C?:@}?[~տQͿ??-?3ڮAA͜..??JLH@p"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"AriaI C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2)1946Q1 2011Q4C(1) C(2) C(3) C(4) C(5) C(6) C(7) C(8) C(9) C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2) II = C(1) + C(2)*G(-1) + C(3)*G(-2) + C(4)*I(-1) + C(5)*I(-2) + C(6)*R(-1) + C(7)*(R(-1)-R(-2)) + C(8)*U(-1) + C(9)*(U(-1)-U(-2))1948Q3 2010Q4&Z? l! @Ig.&?hSN@C ?˂b@ko@4@3Z|6RN@aPG@[o4BA8BA8BA8"@@o@ko@?BA8 -Ȫ-?r5𮛶q]kYvnց`^ kVΫRL(t 96HAHT?"?y՛b2?iյ0 &+?>0+p3gZ0!]τ?s#KP?W\v#'~/"?OFH ?0R0? cZ1?i, ~?Op?8`gCLMnDaH>Clb?䠷Sq?)$X rEJpW6?Hm=9>'?l]g6m!ѱ`?JpICrԛ#e?o?i&[?Q?3 r??Q_+卸?Sample (adjusted): 1948Q3 2010Q4Included observations: 250 after adjustments&Z? l! @Ig.&?hSN@C ?˂b@ko@4@3Z| rui@ 6RN@ aPG@ [o4"@@o@ko@?30\trpaddl0\trpaddr0\trpaddfl3\trpaddfr3\trrh225\clvertalb\clmgf\cellx2047\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx3150\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx4357\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx5565\clvertalb\cellx6562\intbl \ql\cf2 \f0 \fs18 {\ul0 Included observa(6~h֧TCM!!T--ue;Sӭ?Gڏ;?ݯr?@&0?2 6?!w?8-$q\?0kwtp4Cſ@@*..8??fLH\p"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"AriaR C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2)1946Q1 2011Q4C(1) C(2) C(3) C(4) C(5) C(6) C(7) C(8) C(9) C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2) RR = C(1) + C(2)*G(-1) + C(3)*G(-2) + C(4)*I(-1) + C(5)*I(-2) + C(6)*R(-1) + C(7)*(R(-1)-R(-2)) + C(8)*U(-1) + C(9)*(U(-1)-U(-2))1948Q3 2010Q4 Qb?4ir@D%T?VIuq@C i?%d8@jD#Z@AK͑_@#6ot@DŊ(?T BA8BA8BA8"@@o@jD#Z@?BA8 -KoH١?KTYubJR,QDd-w7f06|7,*cMApOl #e-?']>c=n3 ?B$bH|!?Vo~-  XoqM^?·'?S!S K>'>;JˏO?l ?&I.V?rbH?sBiAS3_y#6\^J>p&xy:?}ovI?D#%9le?tpm#O?tER0n.8?qi#2z#}|??yAr?k684?!<ɰNh?p&wJ?57p'?Sample (adjusted): 1948Q3 2010Q4Included observations: 250 after adjustments Qb?4ir@D%T?VIuq@C i?%d8@jD#Z@AK͑_@#6o  <@ t@ DŊ(? T "@@o@jD#Z@?30\trpaddl0\trpaddr0\trpaddfl3\trpaddfr3\trrh225\clvertalb\clmgf\cellx2047\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx3150\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx4357\clvertalb\clmrg\cellx5565\clvertalb\cellx6562\intbl \ql\cf2 \f0 \fs18 {\ul0 Included observaDR~hTCM!!p--eb-rX*G?ky?.~?Fn(?ZK[;S?n}?D=V?@ɿ@@F..T??ïLHxp"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"ArialZbtiZbt"AriaU C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2)1946Q1 2011Q4C(1) C(2) C(3) C(4) C(5) C(6) C(7) C(8) C(9) C G(-1) G(-2) I(-1) I(-2) R(-1) R(-1)-R(-2) U(-1) U(-1)-U(-2) UU = C(1) + C(2)*G(-1) + C(3)*G(-2) + C(4)*I(-1) + C(5)*I(-2) + C(6)*R(-1) + C(7)*(R(-1)-R(-2)) + C(8)*U(-1) + C(9)*(U(-1)-U(-2))1948Q3 2010Q4]+p ?8gDio@c~r?d?M cl?}ES>2 T׵(X)>QH-p*7\ <`4?kϊM?!vӾ2.>: >љ2R>E>>%v.?0/ ?S`?"UMJqtH>7?'U!?tE<9>Xl<>>ô6j6jh:ұ?pgkU*#?jcH?HZlV& ?hȺQ@?c5 "?t-BGy?Sample (adjusted): 1948Q3 2010Q4Included observations: 250 after adjustments]+p ?8gDio@c~r?d?M cl?}