March 2017 Economic Outlook

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UCLA Anderson Forecast’s Second Look at Economic Policy Changes under the New U.S. Presidential Administration

Stocks, the dollar and interest rates soared after the surprising election of Donald Trump on the assumption of a major shift in fiscal policy. Now that immigration and trade issues have moved to the fore, the markets are less certain as to the magnitude and timing of the fiscal changes. In its first quarterly report for 2017, the UCLA Anderson Forecast discussed the implication of these cross currents and present a second pass at Trumponomics. [...]


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California Forecast:

Are Tourists and Immigrants in California Dreaming?  The INS, Dollars, Visas and Vacations

The California economy continued to grow in the last three months. Total employment was 2.8% higher than twelve months earlier and payroll employment 2.0% higher. The rate of increase, while higher than the U.S. has slowed over the last three months of 2016. This is due in part to the impact full employment is having on the labor force. At or near full employment it becomes more difficult to bring new worker into jobs, especially when it involves moving to a high cost-of-living state like California.  [...]


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Videos

Extreme Makeover: A Second Pass at Trumponomics

Extreme Makeover: A Second Pass at Trumponomics
The California Forecast: What

The California Forecast: What "Out of Control" Looks Like
Will a Lower Corporate Income Tax Rate Boost Economic Growth?

Will a Lower Corporate Income Tax Rate Boost Economic Growth?

Trumponomics and the Local Economy

Trumponomics and the Local Economy
 

UCLA Anderson Forecast presents

MARCH 2017 Economic Outlook

Stocks, the dollar and interest rates soared after the surprising election of Donald Trump on the assumption of a major shift in fiscal policy. Now that immigration and trade issues have moved to the fore, the markets are less certain as to the magnitude and timing of the fiscal changes. Our forecast will discuss the implication of these cross currents and present a second pass at Trumponomics.

Agenda
8:00 - 9:00a Registration + Breakfast
9:00 - 9:05a Welcome + Introductions
9:05 - 9:55a UCLA Anderson Forecast for the Nation, California and Los Angeles
Edward Leamer, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast
David Shulman, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast
Jerry Nickelsburg, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast
William Yu, Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast
9:55 - 10:15a Q + A with the Forecast Team
10:15 - 10:30a Break
10:30 - 11:00a Panel - Tweetonomics and the Local Economy
Moderator: Jerry Nickelsburg, Senior Economist, UCLA Anderson Forecast
John Krist, Chief Executive Officer, Farm Bureau of Ventura County
Mary Leslie, President, Los Angeles Business Council
Stuart Gabriel, Professor and Director of the Ziman Center for Real Estate, UCLA Anderson School
Jason Sisney, Chief Deputy Legislative Analyst, California State Legislative Analyst's Office (LAO)
11:00 - 11:15a Q + A with the Expert Panel
Key Topics
Can Trump deliver on his proposed tax cuts?
How much will immigration and trade restrictions weigh on the economy?
How many times will the Fed raise interest rates this year?
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